NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	85		Excitement	4.1 [988]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (GSW): +9.7%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	1.2 [1000]		LVP	Juwan Howard (ORL): -10.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	-0.01	-0.04	7	69%	0.06	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Britton Johnsen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	2	0%	-0.01	2	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	33%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	14	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	12	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	55%	-0.02	5	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.05	15	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	10	85%	0.04	3	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	65%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	38%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	54%	0.02	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	27.3	16.6	24.1	3.8	28.2	125.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +26.7%

GSW +8.5%

GSW +13.9%

GSW +2.2%

ORL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.7	94.4	119.6	100.5
season	15.7	16.1		100.9	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.6	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	18.5	14.0	15.9	15.9
GSW	15.5	14.2	18.7	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	18	18	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-26	27	11.3	17.0	-5.67	11.9	16.7	-4.77
Sean Rooks	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.08	5	-30	35	14.4	16.1	-1.67	16.1	15.7	0.35
Reece Gaines	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	11.5	16.4	-4.91	10.4	16.4	-6.04
Drew Gooden	27	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-24	23	16.7	15.5	1.20	18.3	14.7	3.65
Britton Johnsen	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.28	-11	-14	3	14.4	16.2	-1.74	12.8	16.4	-3.60
Steven Hunter	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-19	13	15.2	16.1	-0.93	13.0	16.7	-3.71
Keith Bogans	64	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.31	-15	-10	-5	15.0	17.9	-2.84	16.4	14.4	2.05
DeShawn Stevenson	63	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-14	3	16.1	15.4	0.66	16.6	13.8	2.79
Tyronn Lue	51	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-7	-11	17.3	14.1	3.20	15.5	16.2	-0.78
Juwan Howard	64	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.14	-21	-4	-17	16.5	14.3	2.25	16.7	13.3	3.38
Andrew DeClercq	32	33	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.13	-22	-3	-19	16.5	15.5	1.03	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Tracy McGrady	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.09	-23	-2	-21	16.8	12.6	4.20	16.3	14.2	2.06

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	67	64	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	6	13	16.5	13.8	2.67	16.3	14.7	1.60
Clifford Robinson	63	61	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	9	7	17.1	12.8	4.32	16.4	14.8	1.53
Erick Dampier	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	16	-7	16.6	14.4	2.20	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Avery Johnson	38	36	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.21	18	7	11	15.4	16.0	-0.62	18.4	14.2	4.20
Calbert Cheaney	40	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	9	7	15.3	16.1	-0.81	18.0	14.3	3.65
Mickael Pietrus	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	19	-13	16.3	15.1	1.24	14.4	17.7	-3.30
Jason Richardson	60	62	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	15	-5	16.8	13.8	3.02	15.2	17.3	-2.06
Troy Murphy	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.34	18	7	11	14.7	16.5	-1.80	16.5	15.4	1.10
Adonal Foyle	26	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.15	7	18	-11	12.2	17.2	-5.00	14.7	16.3	-1.65
J.R. Bremer	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	10.4	16.4	-6.04	11.5	16.4	-4.91
Brian Cardinal	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	10.4	16.4	-6.04	11.5	16.4	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 76, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 75, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%