NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	76		Excitement	3.6 [1059]		MVP	Jarron Collins (UTA): +5.5%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	1.0 [1036]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -10.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	55%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	-0.02	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	13	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	19	43%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	8	11%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	90%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	12	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	5	60%	0.02	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	2	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	13	57%	-0.01	3	-0.03	14	79%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	29.2	26.8	31.1	1.7	28.3	141.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.0%

UTA +7.9%

UTA +14.9%

PHX -5.8%

UTA +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.5	81.7	106.5	101.6
season	15.0	16.3		101.1	103.1
opponent	15.3	15.9		101.1	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	16.3	14.5	13.5	15.0
UTA	16.9	15.7	12.7	19.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-21	19	17.1	14.6	2.53	18.2	15.5	2.80
Casey Jacobsen	32	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.17	-9	-14	5	13.3	15.9	-2.62	16.0	15.9	0.05
Dan Langhi	19	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-18	13	14.3	15.2	-0.97	17.0	15.6	1.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-14	5	14.1	16.0	-1.87	16.3	15.6	0.69
Scott Williams	22	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	-12	1	12.0	16.0	-4.03	13.0	16.8	-3.79
Shawn Marion	72	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	-15	7	14.9	15.4	-0.45	16.8	13.1	3.67
Jake Tsakalidis	44	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-11	-1	16.2	13.9	2.31	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Tom Gugliotta	45	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-12	1	16.2	13.9	2.26	16.0	15.9	0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	-8	-7	15.6	14.2	1.43	15.2	17.0	-1.83
Joe Johnson	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-12	1	14.3	16.0	-1.79	16.1	15.7	0.46
Stephon Marbury	61	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	-1	-21	16.0	13.2	2.72	15.4	16.9	-1.49

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	3	17	15.9	16.0	-0.14	15.7	12.3	3.48
Karl Malone	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.21	22	1	21	15.5	17.1	-1.60	15.8	13.0	2.77
John Stockton	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.08	16	7	9	15.7	16.1	-0.43	16.7	13.3	3.46
Matt Harpring	50	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.02	13	10	3	15.6	16.3	-0.77	15.9	14.1	1.79
Jarron Collins	46	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	10	3	15.5	16.4	-0.86	14.2	15.8	-1.66
Greg Ostertag	36	37	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	16	-9	15.8	16.0	-0.26	16.4	14.1	2.24
Andrei Kirilenko	58	58	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.19	13	10	3	16.2	15.5	0.63	13.6	17.4	-3.84
Mark Jackson	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	15	-7	16.0	15.9	0.16	13.7	16.0	-2.26
Scott Padgett	38	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	19	-15	17.4	14.9	2.51	13.4	16.2	-2.81
Carlos Arroyo	11	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	16.8	15.8	1.00	11.2	15.4	-4.22
DeShawn Stevenson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	17.0	15.9	1.10	12.5	15.1	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 85, GSW 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 91, NOH 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%