NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	91		Excitement	3.5 [1152]		MVP	David West (NOH): +14.2%
New Orleans Hornets	105		Comeback	1.1 [1162]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -8.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	14	72%	0.16	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ben Uzoh	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	16	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	12	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	8	87%	0.13	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	75%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	13	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	10	90%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.01	-0.08	11	33%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	25.5	14.8	23.4	3.2	30.6	124.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.0%

NJN -1.1%

NOH +8.6%

NJN -5.4%

NJN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NOH	NBA	NJN	NOH	NBA
this game	17.3	16.4	15.5	107.1	122.1	105.7
season	16.4	16.2		101.6	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.3		104.4	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.1	15.9	20.1	16.2	17.3
NOH	15.0	17.7	15.9	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Uzoh	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	11.8	17.9	-6.13	19.3	16.1	3.25
Johan Petro	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-22	30	12.1	17.9	-5.85	19.4	16.0	3.36
Derrick Favors	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-13	12	17.1	17.4	-0.25	17.6	15.4	2.28
Jordan Farmar	36	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-13	12	15.2	18.8	-3.63	17.8	15.4	2.37
Troy Murphy	28	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-5	-4	17.6	17.1	0.57	16.9	16.2	0.74
Sasha Vujacic	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-2	-10	17.5	17.0	0.55	16.0	16.8	-0.79
Brook Lopez	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-3	-8	17.8	16.2	1.64	15.5	18.1	-2.56
Kris Humphries	37	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	1	-16	17.6	17.0	0.69	15.3	17.4	-2.09
Devin Harris	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	0	-14	19.0	13.7	5.23	15.5	18.3	-2.75
Travis Outlaw	63	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-8	2	17.1	17.6	-0.45	16.7	15.4	1.34
Stephen Graham	46	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-1	-12	17.7	16.7	1.05	15.7	17.1	-1.39

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	64	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	5	4	16.3	16.7	-0.40	17.3	17.2	0.04
David West	62	60	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	4	6	16.4	16.5	-0.04	17.3	17.1	0.20
Marco Belinelli	49	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	5	4	16.8	16.0	0.76	16.9	17.7	-0.77
Trevor Ariza	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	7	0	16.7	15.8	0.90	17.8	16.2	1.61
DJ Mbenga	12	12	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	17.0	16.3	0.66	15.6	17.5	-1.95
Jason Smith	30	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	5	4	16.6	16.3	0.26	17.7	17.0	0.71
Emeka Okafor	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	11	-8	16.3	17.1	-0.79	17.3	17.1	0.19
Marcus Thornton	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	5	4	15.9	16.8	-0.91	17.6	17.0	0.63
Jarrett Jack	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	8	-2	16.5	16.4	0.08	17.9	16.9	0.97
Quincy Pondexter	24	24	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	12	-10	16.0	16.6	-0.54	15.3	18.0	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 74, DET 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 88, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 90, WAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%