NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	4.2 [943]		MVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): +13.5%
Washington Bullets	103		Comeback	1.4 [944]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -16.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	-0.00	13	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Duane Ferrell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Brent Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.02
Rik Smits	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	34%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	13	32%	-0.12	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.04	0.02	8	39%	-0.07	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	18	68%	0.16	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	18	64%	0.11	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.03
Lorenzo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tim Legler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	3	87%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	7	28%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.5	15.4	32.4	1.8	30.0	133.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +17.6%

WAS +21.5%

IND -5.6%

WAS +15.0%

WAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	98.9	110.8	104.4
season	15.3	14.8		103.6	104.3
opponent	15.8	16.3		103.3	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	17.9	14.3	13.6	15.5
WAS	15.4	15.0	13.9	19.1	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Scott	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	7.2	15.9	-8.68	18.0	15.6	2.37
Duane Ferrell	10	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-14	15	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.1	15.9	-0.77
Fred Hoiberg	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-13	13	14.9	15.7	-0.73	16.2	15.7	0.47
Travis Best	50	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-10	7	13.8	17.7	-3.93	16.3	15.0	1.30
Erick Dampier	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-9	5	13.0	16.6	-3.52	14.9	16.1	-1.22
Jalen Rose	65	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-10	7	14.6	18.0	-3.38	16.2	14.6	1.63
Rik Smits	48	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-6	-1	16.9	14.0	2.85	14.7	16.8	-2.08
Dale Davis	64	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	-3	-7	16.4	13.4	2.99	16.4	14.1	2.37
Reggie Miller	66	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	1	-15	16.5	13.0	3.52	15.4	16.7	-1.36
Antonio Davis	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	1	-15	15.9	14.9	0.94	16.4	14.6	1.79
Mark Jackson	49	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	1	-15	16.7	14.2	2.52	14.6	17.0	-2.37

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rod Strickland	80	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	0	13	16.2	13.1	3.11	15.8	14.2	1.54
Juwan Howard	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	1	11	16.4	11.0	5.39	16.3	9.4	6.91
Chris Webber	80	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	1	11	16.4	11.8	4.54	15.7	14.8	0.90
Harvey Grant	56	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	-6	25	15.9	15.6	0.31	15.9	15.1	0.83
Tim Legler	12	10	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	3	7	10.2	16.6	-6.32	18.7	15.2	3.54
Jaren Jackson	45	45	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	11	-9	15.6	15.9	-0.34	13.2	17.8	-4.65
Calbert Cheaney	43	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	12	-11	17.1	14.6	2.45	16.5	14.7	1.84
Lorenzo Williams	13	15	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	11	-9	14.4	16.0	-1.59	13.5	16.0	-2.49
Tracy Murray	37	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	18	-23	14.1	16.9	-2.78	15.7	15.4	0.27
Chris Whitney	13	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	13.1	16.2	-3.11	14.2	15.8	-1.54
Ben Wallace	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	12.5	15.9	-3.40	7.2	15.9	-8.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 91, NOH 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
IND 91, NJN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 100, DAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%