inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 74 Excitement3.1 [1131] MVPBobby Phills (CLE): +5.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 103 Comeback1.3 [846] LVPMahmoud Abdul-Rauf (SAC): -9.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.00-0.011074%0.104-0.0511100%0.04
Billy Owens0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.00-0.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Gamble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063117%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bobby Hurley0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Olden Polynice-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.01-0.02945%0.011-0.01250%-0.00
Duane Causwell-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.02125%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Lionel Simmons-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.07-0.00-0.05833%-0.0200.005100%0.01
Tyus Edney-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.04430%-0.021-0.00250%-0.01
Michael Smith-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.110.00-0.06333%0.023-0.0600%-0.01
Corliss Williamson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01935%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Lloyd Daniels-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.01-0.0540%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.01-0.00926%-0.071-0.021100%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Phills0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.041164%0.0500.0000%0.00
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.02774%0.061-0.03540%-0.03
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.021658%0.061-0.034100%0.02
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.01-0.02950%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Antonio Lang0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donny Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062125%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.000.03667%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mark West0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01562%0.011-0.02367%-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.03837%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.021263%0.054-0.083100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.430.515.523.62.524.5122.2
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +38.6%
SAC -1.4%
CLE +16.2%
SAC -5.0%
CLE +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACCLENBASACCLENBA
this game15.217.615.684.1117.0104.4
season15.417.8102.4102.1
opponent16.115.4100.0106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.715.416.612.015.2
CLE17.615.217.719.817.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Hurley10100.00-0.490.490.18-6-231710.815.7-4.9314.018.0-4.01
Duane Causwell2022-0.01-0.490.480.08-3-262316.414.81.5916.817.8-0.98
Kevin Gamble1818-0.01-0.480.470.34-12-17512.415.9-3.4319.117.21.88
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf3939-0.15-0.340.200.06-7-221516.813.92.9216.818.2-1.37
Lionel Simmons3839-0.16-0.340.180.22-13-16313.216.6-3.4017.217.9-0.68
Lloyd Daniels1716-0.17-0.330.160.22-13-16312.115.9-3.8612.818.6-5.80
Olden Polynice5355-0.22-0.270.050.16-13-16315.814.31.5218.715.63.07
Corliss Williamson4342-0.25-0.24-0.010.07-11-18713.916.4-2.4719.216.03.22
Mitch Richmond6262-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-10-19916.212.73.4617.717.30.35
Billy Owens5049-0.30-0.19-0.110.11-14-15117.012.84.1917.118.2-1.12
Tyus Edney3939-0.34-0.15-0.200.12-16-13-314.715.6-0.9019.216.23.01
Michael Smith5149-0.560.06-0.620.23-27-2-2515.514.60.9016.818.5-1.67

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Hill63640.54-0.040.58-0.312902917.816.81.0016.411.84.65
Terrell Brandon71690.490.000.49-0.212451917.916.11.7816.211.44.78
Chris Mills61640.440.050.40-0.322632318.116.41.7116.212.33.96
Bob Sura40410.270.220.05-0.021019-917.018.0-0.9314.815.5-0.64
Mark West31320.260.240.02-0.101217-517.417.7-0.3117.214.03.22
Bobby Phills44460.220.28-0.06-0.281712518.616.52.1115.814.51.24
Danny Ferry46440.170.32-0.15-0.06821-1318.516.61.8914.116.2-2.16
Antonio Lang27250.050.44-0.40-0.04326-2316.418.1-1.7112.516.2-3.76
Vitaly Potapenko26260.020.47-0.45-0.07326-2316.917.8-0.9513.016.1-3.03
Reggie Geary14140.000.49-0.49-0.11425-2115.418.0-2.6210.516.1-5.55
Donny Marshall1090.000.49-0.49-0.18623-1714.018.0-4.0110.115.7-5.64
Carl Thomas760.000.49-0.49-0.09326-2314.717.8-3.0912.015.4-3.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 75, MIA 980.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%
DEN 74, GSW 930.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
ORL 88, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%