NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	6.7 [269]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +21.3%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	2.8 [514]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -14.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.08	0.01	14	67%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Chris Mills	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	11	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Adonal Foyle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.01,0	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	14	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.12	-0.00	6	94%	0.26	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	6	75%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	22	60%	0.12	3	-0.08	19	95%	0.14
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	2	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	5	28%	-0.11	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	51.2	2.5	34.3	14.8	26.3	2.4	37.3	168.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -5.1%

UTA +41.6%

UTA +24.1%

GSW -15.9%

UTA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.8	97.7	108.2	99.6
season	15.9	16.4		95.1	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.5		96.1	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	18.3	15.0	19.0	16.9	17.3
UTA	15.1	17.0	16.0	16.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	38	37	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.00	10	-17	27	16.2	18.1	-1.94	18.2	14.7	3.52
Donyell Marshall	28	27	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.11	8	-15	23	14.6	18.6	-3.99	16.5	16.1	0.47
Muggsy Bogues	23	22	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.06	5	-12	17	16.3	17.6	-1.32	19.5	15.0	4.45
Tony Delk	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	13.2	18.1	-4.84	12.0	17.1	-5.10
Felton Spencer	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-2	-3	18.4	17.2	1.25	20.6	15.8	4.76
Antawn Jamison	38	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	1	-9	19.5	15.6	3.90	15.7	16.6	-0.83
Jason Caffey	39	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	4	-15	18.4	16.4	2.06	14.5	17.5	-2.99
Terry Cummings	43	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-8	9	15.7	18.9	-3.21	15.5	17.0	-1.55
John Starks	44	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	1	-9	17.7	16.8	0.96	16.3	16.1	0.17
Erick Dampier	45	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	19.0	15.4	3.57	17.0	15.5	1.49
Chris Mills	52	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.34	-8	1	-9	17.5	17.0	0.46	16.7	15.3	1.37
Bimbo Coles	64	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.23	-12	5	-17	17.6	16.3	1.32	15.0	19.5	-4.45

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	49	52	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-7	21	17.0	15.1	1.89	18.6	15.4	3.19
John Stockton	48	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.19	10	-3	13	15.0	17.8	-2.85	17.2	17.4	-0.13
Karl Malone	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	0	7	15.3	20.9	-5.66	17.3	17.1	0.17
Bryon Russell	66	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	14.9	20.6	-5.64	17.5	16.5	0.98
Shandon Anderson	49	48	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	-1	9	17.6	14.3	3.33	17.0	17.6	-0.62
Jeff Hornacek	36	39	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	8	-9	14.3	17.6	-3.33	17.6	17.0	0.62
Adam Keefe	22	20	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	1	5	18.1	15.5	2.61	15.6	17.8	-2.11
Howard Eisley	37	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	10	-13	17.8	15.0	2.85	17.4	17.2	0.13
Thurl Bailey	24	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	18.9	15.1	3.79	16.2	17.7	-1.55
Todd Fuller	23	22	-0.12	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	13	-19	16.3	16.2	0.14	16.3	17.6	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 102, BOS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.85,1	92.7%
IND 85, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.9,0.99,1	92.6%
ORL 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.98,1	92.4%