NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	8.5 [193]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (LAL): +44.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	105		Comeback	2.9 [752]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -38.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.01	13	62%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Kasun	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	65%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.11,0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	0.06	-0.14	0.00	20	60%	0.09	2	-0.17	5	100%	0.03
Tony Battie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	17	38%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.29	0.16	0.00	11	114%	0.45	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	18	60%	0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	65%	0.05	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.00	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.04
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.39,-0.39,-0.38,-0.39	-0.39	-0.21	-0.24	-0.07	23	38%	-0.29	3	-0.09	15	73%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	29.5	15.7	27.3	2.5	36.4	136.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -8.8%

LAL +5.3%

LAL +28.9%

LAL +30.0%

ORL -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAL	NBA	ORL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	17.8	15.5	108.9	119.3	104.0
season	14.3	15.7		102.9	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	13.9	15.5	15.3	14.6
LAL	16.7	18.9	17.3	18.3	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	14	12	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.07	5	-12	17	15.0	14.6	0.42	17.5	17.8	-0.29
Stacey Augmon	29	27	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.11	3	-10	13	12.9	15.5	-2.58	18.4	17.4	1.00
Mario Kasun	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.7	-0.16	13.6	18.2	-4.54
Hedo Turkoglu	36	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-5	3	14.2	14.9	-0.66	17.7	17.8	-0.08
Pat Garrity	36	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-1	-5	14.0	15.1	-1.03	17.5	17.9	-0.34
Jameer Nelson	11	11	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	0	-7	14.2	14.7	-0.53	16.6	17.9	-1.27
Steve Francis	79	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	14.7	14.2	0.53	17.9	16.6	1.27
Dwight Howard	50	47	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-2	-3	15.4	13.7	1.61	16.5	19.1	-2.61
Grant Hill	60	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-3	-1	14.5	14.8	-0.28	18.4	16.1	2.32
Tony Battie	64	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	-3	-1	14.7	14.5	0.26	18.4	16.0	2.35
Cuttino Mobley	63	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.28	-12	5	-17	15.4	12.9	2.56	17.7	17.7	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	64	65	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-8	23	18.0	17.2	0.80	15.0	13.7	1.28
Jumaine Jones	50	51	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-1	9	18.5	16.8	1.74	14.4	15.0	-0.63
Kobe Bryant	75	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	17.8	17.5	0.25	14.7	14.4	0.30
Tierre Brown	50	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-1	9	18.5	16.7	1.83	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Lamar Odom	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	8	-9	16.8	21.5	-4.71	14.5	15.3	-0.78
Caron Butler	61	63	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	1	5	17.7	17.9	-0.15	14.8	14.3	0.55
Vlade Divac	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	6	-5	19.5	17.6	1.88	10.8	14.9	-4.07
Chucky Atkins	38	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	8	-9	16.7	18.5	-1.83	15.2	14.2	1.04
Luke Walton	13	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	7	-7	19.7	17.4	2.28	16.5	14.3	2.19
Brian Cook	13	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	14	-21	16.2	18.0	-1.78	13.2	14.9	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.71,0.67,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1	92.4%
MIA 109, ORL 112	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.91,1	92.2%
LAC 103, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.85,1	92.2%