NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	85		Excitement	7.4 [330]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +6.6%
Phoenix Suns	93		Comeback	3.2 [636]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -23.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zan Tabak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.10	3	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	23	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	6	44%	0.02	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Terry Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	8	50%	-0.05	4	-0.12	2	100%	-0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	17	41%	-0.17	2	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	23	54%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	43%	-0.02	1	0.01	2	100%	0.04
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	15	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.28,-0.22,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	0.04	-0.04	14	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	8	100%	0.10
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	6	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	12	31%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.7	31.0	19.5	26.2	2.6	34.0	141.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +1.9%

PHX +8.5%

PHX +11.4%

PHX +29.4%

IND -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHX	NBA	IND	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	15.5	90.4	96.9	100.9
season	15.9	14.9		99.3	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		96.2	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	17.2	16.3	16.4	16.1
PHX	16.0	15.5	13.2	12.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick McKey	17	17	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-11	14	17.3	15.9	1.42	14.7	14.1	0.60
Sam Perkins	9	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-6	4	17.0	16.0	0.96	15.8	14.0	1.73
Jonathan Bender	5	6	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-5	2	18.2	16.0	2.19	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Zan Tabak	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	1	-10	16.5	16.0	0.53	15.2	13.8	1.40
Terry Mills	8	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-5	2	17.7	16.0	1.77	12.4	14.4	-2.00
Al Harrington	65	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-12	16	15.4	17.7	-2.26	14.0	14.8	-0.87
Reggie Miller	77	77	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-8	8	15.6	18.4	-2.72	14.5	13.2	1.31
Austin Croshere	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-7	6	15.9	16.3	-0.40	13.9	14.5	-0.60
Jermaine O'Neal	85	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-5	2	16.5	12.2	4.32	14.4	12.2	2.19
Travis Best	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-1	-6	16.0	16.4	-0.40	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Jalen Rose	65	68	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.19	-19	11	-30	16.2	16.0	0.23	13.7	15.3	-1.57

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	88	87	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-11	30	14.0	16.2	-2.23	16.8	7.9	8.94
Shawn Marion	83	82	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.14	20	-12	32	13.9	16.4	-2.52	16.7	12.0	4.73
Tom Gugliotta	55	53	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-6	20	13.4	15.3	-1.85	17.0	15.0	2.04
Tony Delk	66	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	11	-14	13.1	16.7	-3.62	15.2	18.1	-2.89
Rodney Rogers	41	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	12	-16	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.2	16.8	-1.58
Anfernee Hardaway	35	35	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	6	-4	17.0	12.6	4.39	16.8	15.7	1.07
Jake Tsakalidis	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	8	-8	14.4	14.2	0.17	16.2	16.1	0.03
Clifford Robinson	53	53	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.12	2	6	-4	15.0	13.2	1.81	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Chris Dudley	26	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	8	-8	15.3	13.8	1.45	15.8	16.3	-0.44
Paul McPherson	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	12	-16	11.7	14.3	-2.57	6.7	16.5	-9.79
Corie Blount	15	15	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	14	-20	16.4	13.8	2.60	16.0	16.2	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.53,0.79,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.85,0.85,0.98,1	93.1%
GSW 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1	92.6%
TOR 91, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.44,0.64,0.94,0.95,1	92.4%