NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	76		Excitement	5.1 [761]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +4.0%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	1.4 [1216]		LVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): -11.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	58%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	4	40%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Duane Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Joe Smith	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	57%	0.01	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	12	38%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	59%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	65%	-0.01	4	-0.07	8	50%	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	14	47%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	37%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	24.0	16.4	26.6	2.3	24.5	119.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +19.8%

GSW -4.3%

GSW -0.7%

PHX +34.0%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHX	NBA	GSW	PHX	NBA
this game	15.9	15.7	15.6	82.6	101.1	102.5
season	15.6	15.0		92.9	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.0		100.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.0	15.4	16.3	17.1	15.9
PHX	16.3	13.9	18.1	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	51	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-15	15	15.9	16.0	-0.09	16.7	14.5	2.11
Erick Dampier	70	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-14	13	16.4	14.5	1.81	15.8	15.3	0.58
Duane Ferrell	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-11	7	14.9	16.3	-1.41	17.0	15.2	1.80
Dickey Simpkins	43	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-12	9	15.4	16.4	-0.99	15.3	16.1	-0.79
Todd Fuller	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-9	3	14.5	16.1	-1.57	13.6	16.0	-2.39
Joe Smith	41	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-7	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.39	15.3	16.1	-0.76
Adonal Foyle	55	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-11	7	16.5	15.1	1.46	16.0	15.3	0.75
Brian Shaw	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	16.6	15.2	1.38	16.0	15.4	0.58
Tony Delk	52	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.01	-12	-3	-9	15.8	16.1	-0.27	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Felton Spencer	21	19	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-3	-9	15.2	16.1	-0.89	15.3	15.8	-0.58
Muggsy Bogues	41	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.03	-15	0	-15	16.0	15.9	0.09	14.5	16.7	-2.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	60	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-3	21	15.2	16.8	-1.57	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Danny Manning	48	50	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.03	17	-2	19	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Cedric Ceballos	39	40	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	0	15	15.5	15.9	-0.32	16.4	15.6	0.80
Jason Kidd	78	79	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.04	11	4	7	15.4	18.0	-2.63	16.0	15.5	0.45
Antonio McDyess	69	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.07	7	8	-1	15.9	15.3	0.57	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Rex Chapman	53	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	13	-11	16.2	15.1	1.13	15.5	16.6	-1.12
Clifford Robinson	55	55	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.15	1	14	-13	15.9	15.5	0.34	16.1	15.6	0.51
Hot Rod Williams	48	48	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.01	2	13	-11	16.5	14.9	1.62	16.6	15.2	1.34
George McCloud	0	2	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	13	-11	0.0	15.7	-15.72	0.0	16.3	-16.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, SAC 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 89, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAL 91, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.9%