NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	5.1 [831]		MVP	Keith Van Horn (DAL): +11.4%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	1.5 [949]		LVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): -15.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	92%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	65%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Burks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Jason Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	15	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	14%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	7	40%	-0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.04	-0.05	8	67%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.02	-0.03	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	13	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	56%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.05	15	68%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.11	16	53%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	28.4	16.7	28.2	2.4	27.4	130.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.6%

DAL +17.2%

DAL +0.9%

DAL +2.6%

DAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DAL	NBA	MEM	DAL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.1	15.5	101.1	123.6	104.0
season	16.4	14.9		103.7	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	18.5	16.7	17.4	17.4	17.5
DAL	15.1	13.9	13.9	17.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	19.2	17.4	1.84	16.5	15.0	1.51
Antonio Burks	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-20	19	19.2	17.4	1.84	16.5	15.0	1.51
Mike Miller	60	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-16	11	17.8	16.8	1.00	15.7	13.7	2.06
Earl Watson	44	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.12	-8	-13	5	18.7	16.3	2.39	15.3	14.9	0.41
Lorenzen Wright	58	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-16	11	18.2	16.1	2.07	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Shane Battier	54	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-12	3	18.4	16.0	2.44	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Stromile Swift	24	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-14	7	15.7	18.1	-2.47	13.5	15.7	-2.19
Brian Cardinal	27	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-13	5	16.4	18.0	-1.58	13.9	15.6	-1.72
James Posey	34	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-9	-3	16.0	18.4	-2.44	15.5	14.8	0.71
Pau Gasol	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-7	-7	18.7	15.5	3.25	15.8	14.0	1.75
Jason Williams	39	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-9	-3	15.9	18.7	-2.82	14.6	15.4	-0.80
Bonzi Wells	36	34	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.19	-23	2	-25	15.7	18.7	-3.00	15.3	14.9	0.38

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	50	50	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.09	18	3	15	14.1	16.3	-2.17	17.1	18.0	-0.94
Marquis Daniels	41	40	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	11	-1	15.1	15.1	-0.03	17.3	17.6	-0.30
Jason Terry	60	62	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	3	15	15.1	15.1	0.03	17.8	16.6	1.21
Devin Harris	24	22	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	17	-13	14.6	15.3	-0.64	16.2	17.9	-1.65
Josh Howard	58	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.21	15	6	9	14.9	15.4	-0.51	17.0	18.4	-1.41
Alan Henderson	29	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	18	-15	14.7	15.3	-0.59	16.6	17.9	-1.26
Dirk Nowitzki	62	61	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	8	5	14.7	16.0	-1.36	18.1	16.1	2.01
Erick Dampier	49	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.26	15	6	9	16.1	13.9	2.16	17.7	17.1	0.66
Michael Finley	67	64	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	11	-1	15.8	12.9	2.90	17.9	16.4	1.50
Darrell Armstrong	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	17.2	15.0	2.24	18.7	17.4	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.5%
GSW 76, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
DEN 81, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%