NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	5.3 [754]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +14.7%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.4 [572]		LVP	Ron Harper (LAL): -22.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	14	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	19	59%	0.06	5	-0.13	8	62%	-0.03
Glen Rice	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	12	40%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	19	63%	0.05	6	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Ron Harper	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.21	-0.03	-0.02	7	0%	-0.11	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.01	-0.01	9	86%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	11	63%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	19	44%	-0.04	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	15	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	45%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.7	29.3	18.3	29.3	2.5	41.2	145.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +15.6%

SAC +10.3%

SAC +15.4%

SAC +11.6%

LAL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	12.7	15.2	89.2	103.0	101.7
season	15.3	13.8		105.6	102.9
opponent	14.7	15.1		100.7	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.7	18.1	15.4	13.3	15.8
SAC	12.6	11.9	12.3	13.9	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	70	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-18	24	16.4	14.5	1.90	12.5	13.0	-0.52
Rick Fox	43	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-13	14	15.7	15.8	-0.10	11.4	13.8	-2.35
John Salley	12	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-4	-4	20.7	15.1	5.61	15.4	12.3	3.02
Ron Harper	52	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	16.7	14.8	1.93	13.4	12.0	1.39
Robert Horry	22	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	2	-16	14.8	16.1	-1.31	12.5	12.7	-0.20
Derek Fisher	63	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	15.5	16.4	-0.90	12.0	13.9	-1.98
Shaquille O'Neal	85	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	15.6	17.0	-1.44	12.9	11.7	1.17
Kobe Bryant	90	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	15.4	19.2	-3.81	12.7	12.2	0.58
Glen Rice	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	0	-12	15.2	17.3	-2.06	13.1	11.6	1.54

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Peja Stojakovic	57	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	1	10	12.8	12.5	0.30	14.8	17.1	-2.27
Scot Pollard	33	36	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	0	12	14.9	11.6	3.33	16.3	15.5	0.82
Tony Delk	36	35	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	1	10	12.7	12.6	0.11	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Darrick Martin	26	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.02	12	0	12	14.5	12.1	2.41	16.3	15.6	0.72
Chris Webber	79	81	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.22	2	10	-8	12.3	14.0	-1.73	15.5	17.0	-1.57
Lawrence Funderburke	21	21	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	2	8	14.0	12.3	1.73	17.0	15.5	1.57
Nick Anderson	72	73	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	11.7	15.3	-3.62	15.6	16.4	-0.85
Jason Williams	74	75	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	12	-12	12.1	14.5	-2.41	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Vlade Divac	59	60	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	13	-14	12.6	12.8	-0.13	16.3	15.0	1.33
Corliss Williamson	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	11	-10	12.5	12.8	-0.30	17.1	14.8	2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
MEM 89, DAL 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
LAL 80, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%