inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 81 Excitement4.6 [866] MVPEric Riley (DAL): +5.3%
Dallas Mavericks 99 Comeback1.5 [1022] LVPCory Alexander (DEN): -17.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00683%0.042-0.0000%0.00
Eric Washington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Priest Lauderdale0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Bobby Jackson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.02643%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Johnny Newman-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.030.001058%0.022-0.066100%0.03
Anthony Goldwire-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.00-0.030.031354%-0.002-0.062100%0.01
Bryant Stith-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.020.0030%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.011030%-0.072-0.0600%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.021937%-0.082-0.05540%-0.04
Cory Alexander-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.17-0.02-0.011227%-0.142-0.03667%-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Riley0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.013100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.011169%0.103-0.074100%0.01
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.011353%0.061-0.04475%0.00
Khalid Reeves0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.010.03862%0.021-0.02580%0.00
Martin Muursepp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Shawn Respert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.001141%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.011354%0.024-0.07250%-0.01
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.021132%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
A.C. Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.011046%-0.022-0.05475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.21.723.216.423.52.525.8114.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +45.2%
DEN -2.1%
DEN -0.6%
DAL +3.2%
DAL +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENDALNBADENDALNBA
this game16.414.815.687.1107.6102.5
season16.215.896.798.3
opponent15.515.2104.6109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.419.318.114.116.4
DAL14.414.014.615.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Priest Lauderdale76-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-14108.117.0-8.8918.714.54.18
Eric Washington77-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-14108.117.0-8.8920.114.35.83
Bobby Jackson77-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-14108.117.0-8.8920.114.35.83
Danny Fortson6362-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-151215.119.0-3.8915.114.11.03
Dean Garrett4847-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-171616.915.81.1414.415.1-0.64
Cory Alexander7270-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-12616.216.9-0.7013.817.8-4.02
LaPhonso Ellis7675-0.25-0.250.00-0.13-4-141016.814.42.4613.818.8-4.98
Anthony Goldwire6970-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.19-3-151216.815.01.8414.914.40.46
Tony Battie2728-0.47-0.03-0.440.21-235-2817.316.01.3616.813.92.96
Bryant Stith3231-0.48-0.02-0.460.08-191-2018.815.13.6814.015.2-1.20
Johnny Newman5757-0.560.06-0.62-0.00-191-2017.514.53.0014.615.0-0.43

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
A.C. Green76760.55-0.050.590.081621415.112.92.2116.515.70.81
Erick Strickland59600.52-0.020.53-0.0720-22215.014.30.6717.015.21.83
Shawn Bradley61610.400.100.30-0.011441015.114.11.0516.416.4-0.01
Michael Finley69680.280.220.060.16414-1014.316.2-1.9416.017.4-1.36
Hubert Davis58600.280.220.06-0.10135814.714.9-0.2916.715.80.85
Shawn Respert36380.230.27-0.03-0.0399014.315.1-0.7518.814.74.19
Khalid Reeves45450.190.31-0.13-0.0899015.014.50.5614.817.9-3.08
Eric Riley30310.110.39-0.28-0.01414-1014.315.0-0.6316.916.10.81
Martin Muursepp2626-0.050.55-0.61-0.08117-1614.414.9-0.4713.217.6-4.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 91, SAC 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,195.8%
MEM 89, DAL 1100.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
PHX 89, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.8%