NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	5.2 [625]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +15.7%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.3 [917]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -15.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.07	15	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	87%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.03	12	60%	0.06	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	13	34%	-0.08	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.01	12	72%	0.19	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	1	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Delonte West	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	49%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	15	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	32%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	28.5	16.6	25.5	1.0	28.2	127.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.2%

PHX -0.3%

DAL +13.2%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	14.2	16.6	15.6	95.7	104.3	102.8
season	15.0	15.5		104.7	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.7	13.0	16.1	15.4	14.2
DAL	14.0	17.6	16.6	18.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.11	-8	-1	-7	17.2	12.7	4.56	16.8	16.5	0.27
Ronnie Price	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-2	-5	18.4	13.7	4.72	15.7	16.7	-1.04
Steve Nash	72	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.48	11	-20	31	13.1	17.9	-4.81	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Shannon Brown	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.21	-13	4	-17	16.5	13.5	3.02	16.2	16.7	-0.52
Sebastian Telfair	12	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	4	-17	17.5	13.7	3.81	18.3	16.4	1.89
Channing Frye	51	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-14	19	12.8	15.9	-3.10	16.1	17.3	-1.17
Robin Lopez	19	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	0	-9	17.0	13.5	3.54	17.1	16.5	0.56
Marcin Gortat	74	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.27	0	-9	9	13.5	17.0	-3.54	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Grant Hill	66	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-8	7	13.3	16.4	-3.19	17.3	14.7	2.65
Jared Dudley	73	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-13	17	13.5	16.5	-3.02	16.7	16.2	0.52
Hakim Warrick	38	38	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	5	-19	15.2	13.5	1.69	15.9	17.1	-1.24

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	61	60	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.18	14	-5	19	17.3	15.4	1.92	15.2	12.2	3.01
Ian Mahinmi	44	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-1	11	17.2	16.1	1.12	15.8	12.7	3.15
Lamar Odom	40	42	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	-1	11	17.1	16.2	0.86	15.8	12.9	2.92
Vince Carter	41	40	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	1	7	17.3	16.1	1.26	15.6	13.1	2.49
Dirk Nowitzki	68	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	1	7	17.4	14.5	2.91	13.7	15.3	-1.56
Jason Kidd	56	57	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.18	0	9	-9	16.3	17.0	-0.70	13.1	15.8	-2.69
Brian Cardinal	11	10	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	4	1	11.0	17.3	-6.35	19.5	13.5	5.96
Brendan Haywood	50	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	10	-11	16.1	17.2	-1.12	12.7	15.8	-3.15
Shawn Marion	56	55	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	13	-17	16.9	16.1	0.84	12.1	17.2	-5.03
Delonte West	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	10	-11	14.6	17.2	-2.63	12.8	14.6	-1.85
Rodrigue Beaubois	21	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	13	-17	14.6	17.2	-2.56	13.7	14.3	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.86,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 97, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%