inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 92 Excitement4.8 [851] MVPDoug Christie (SAC): +18.5%
Sacramento Kings 107 Comeback1.5 [990] LVPKeon Clark (SAC): -12.0%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.02-0.001864%0.133-0.0800%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bryce Drew-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kirk Haston-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
David Wesley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.001162%0.083-0.082100%0.01
Elden Campbell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.010.01656%-0.0000.006100%0.01
George Lynch-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.01250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01865%0.033-0.07771%-0.01
Courtney Alexander-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01950%-0.012-0.04475%0.00
Jamal Mashburn-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.030.001148%-0.032-0.04367%-0.02
P.J. Brown-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.01725%-0.0900.002100%0.01

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Doug Christie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.030.029105%0.242-0.062100%0.01
Chris Webber0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.030.011672%0.182-0.05757%-0.03
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.00-0.03862%0.082-0.0300%0.00
Peja Stojakovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.021361%0.061-0.022100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.01573%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lawrence Funderburke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01050%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Vlade Divac0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.001336%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01945%-0.013-0.092100%0.01
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.01410%-0.072-0.05250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.12.523.518.322.32.543.2134.5
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +40.1%
NOH -4.0%
SAC +5.6%
SAC +4.8%
SAC +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSACNBANOHSACNBA
this game16.315.115.5100.0117.6101.6
season15.914.0101.6104.4
opponent15.715.698.699.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH16.216.314.918.216.3
SAC14.415.015.116.115.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Haston45-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-141316.516.30.177.215.6-8.39
Bryce Drew45-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-141316.516.30.177.215.6-8.39
Robert Traylor66-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-141316.516.30.1710.315.5-5.14
Stacey Augmon2019-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-12916.216.4-0.1115.115.2-0.10
P.J. Brown5959-0.22-0.280.07-0.13-3-12915.917.1-1.2215.215.10.06
Jamaal Magloire6160-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-6-9316.116.7-0.5614.516.4-1.85
Elden Campbell3131-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.01-9-6-316.716.10.5616.414.51.85
George Lynch2726-0.28-0.22-0.070.04-11-4-717.316.01.3116.214.71.48
David Wesley6562-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.06-8-7-115.917.3-1.4115.813.62.22
Courtney Alexander3838-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.01-10-5-517.315.71.6216.414.22.12
Jamal Mashburn6869-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.11-8-7-116.017.4-1.4014.716.4-1.68
Baron Davis7775-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.07-14-1-1316.515.31.2815.414.01.37

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Webber78800.460.040.420.081321115.214.70.5116.217.4-1.24
Doug Christie78800.460.040.420.081321115.214.70.5116.217.4-1.24
Jim Jackson39410.330.170.160.01114715.514.80.6717.015.81.24
Vlade Divac60610.320.180.140.1178-116.113.32.7416.416.10.31
Damon Jones66690.290.210.080.0687114.816.0-1.2516.117.1-1.06
Keon Clark39390.220.28-0.05-0.0496314.615.6-0.9916.516.20.26
Hedo Turkoglu25230.220.28-0.060.0278-116.614.62.0216.816.20.59
Peja Stojakovic55550.200.30-0.100.08411-715.913.92.0616.216.6-0.39
Gerald Wallace540.000.50-0.50-0.03114-137.215.6-8.3916.516.30.17
Lawrence Funderburke540.000.50-0.50-0.03114-137.215.6-8.3916.516.30.17
Mateen Cleaves540.000.50-0.50-0.03114-137.215.6-8.3916.516.30.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 76, PHX 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
LAL 93, MEM 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%
SAS 92, OKC 1020.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%