NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	92		Excitement	5.0 [815]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (OKC): +19.9%
Oklahoma City Thunder	102		Comeback	1.3 [564]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -8.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	14	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.11	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	15	51%	0.02	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
David Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	5	37%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Bryn Forbes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.05	-0.02	14	69%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jerami Grant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semaj Christon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	7	44%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	21	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	25.7	17.4	31.5	3.3	28.4	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.1%

SAS -3.6%

OKC +14.5%

OKC +12.9%

OKC +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	OKC	NBA	SAS	OKC	NBA
this game	17.4	14.1	14.8	102.2	109.7	107.7
season	15.4	14.0		110.1	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.8		106.7	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	19.5	17.3	19.6	17.4
OKC	12.0	13.2	13.4	19.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-16	22	15.4	17.6	-2.21	17.2	13.8	3.41
Danny Green	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-6	2	18.6	15.8	2.77	14.3	14.0	0.25
Davis Bertans	24	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-13	16	17.8	17.2	0.55	16.1	13.4	2.69
Kawhi Leonard	53	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-9	8	16.6	18.6	-2.00	13.2	15.6	-2.39
Patty Mills	43	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	16.4	18.3	-1.81	13.1	15.1	-2.08
Pau Gasol	43	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-4	-2	18.0	16.8	1.17	14.2	14.1	0.07
David Lee	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	15.8	18.0	-2.18	12.4	14.8	-2.32
Dewayne Dedmon	37	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-8	6	17.1	17.6	-0.48	14.3	14.0	0.26
Jonathon Simmons	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-9	8	15.4	18.8	-3.36	13.3	14.7	-1.44
Dejounte Murray	44	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	8	-26	18.7	16.2	2.53	15.1	13.3	1.85
LaMarcus Aldridge	57	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	3	-16	18.5	15.5	2.96	14.5	13.5	0.96
Bryn Forbes	29	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	0	-10	17.6	17.3	0.34	14.8	13.8	1.05

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	47	48	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-5	20	13.6	14.7	-1.10	17.0	17.8	-0.74
Domantas Sabonis	40	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	3	4	14.0	14.2	-0.25	17.4	17.4	-0.05
Semaj Christon	34	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	3	4	15.1	13.6	1.54	18.9	16.5	2.35
Russell Westbrook	67	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-2	14	14.2	14.1	0.09	17.4	17.3	0.11
Doug McDermott	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	5	0	16.1	12.9	3.22	19.4	16.1	3.29
Victor Oladipo	52	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	5	0	14.4	13.9	0.51	18.0	16.6	1.46
Andre Roberson	56	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	9	-8	13.2	15.5	-2.28	16.6	18.6	-2.08
Alex Abrines	29	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	11	-12	12.2	15.0	-2.81	13.3	19.0	-5.69
Steven Adams	56	54	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	14.3	13.9	0.41	17.3	17.5	-0.14
Taj Gibson	43	39	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	15	-20	14.7	13.7	0.95	17.9	17.0	0.94
Jerami Grant	4	3	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	9	-8	11.2	14.3	-3.02	16.0	17.4	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 65, HOU 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
MEM 90, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
IND 105, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.87,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%