NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	65		Excitement	4.5 [916]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +17.8%
Houston Rockets	83		Comeback	1.2 [1034]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -28.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	11	82%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	19	64%	0.13	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.28	-0.02	-0.03	11	9%	-0.12	7	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	24.8	16.0	22.0	1.8	26.0	115.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.1%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +19.6%

GSW -16.1%

HOU +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	15.8	17.7	15.7	75.6	96.5	100.5
season	16.1	16.5		100.8	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.7	16.4	17.0	14.0	15.8
HOU	17.8	17.1	15.0	21.0	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	38	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-18	18	15.3	16.2	-0.85	17.9	17.5	0.33
Erick Dampier	40	41	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-9	0	15.6	16.0	-0.31	18.0	17.3	0.72
Brian Cardinal	38	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-17	16	16.5	15.3	1.18	17.3	18.0	-0.69
Jason Richardson	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	-6	-6	15.6	16.2	-0.65	17.6	17.7	-0.10
Clifford Robinson	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	-3	-12	16.6	14.6	2.01	17.0	18.7	-1.71
Troy Murphy	40	40	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-9	0	14.7	16.8	-2.04	18.5	16.9	1.59
Speedy Claxton	37	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-12	6	16.3	15.4	0.85	17.4	17.9	-0.51
Nick Van Exel	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.17	-19	1	-20	15.2	17.1	-1.87	17.6	17.9	-0.35
Mike Dunleavy	66	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.12	-19	1	-20	16.3	14.3	1.97	17.8	17.1	0.75

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.16	26	-8	34	17.4	18.6	-1.23	15.9	15.7	0.19
Jim Jackson	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.18	25	-7	32	16.8	22.7	-5.91	15.6	17.0	-1.38
Steve Francis	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.14	21	-3	24	17.3	20.7	-3.34	15.5	18.6	-3.06
Cuttino Mobley	67	66	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	4	10	18.2	15.7	2.55	16.1	14.8	1.32
Kelvin Cato	57	56	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	18	-18	17.3	18.4	-1.12	15.6	16.2	-0.54
Yao Ming	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	11	-4	18.7	16.8	1.88	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Eric Piatkowski	32	33	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	19	-20	18.5	17.2	1.36	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Scott Padgett	10	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	17	-16	17.8	17.7	0.14	18.2	15.5	2.70
Mike Wilks	9	9	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	21	-24	20.7	17.3	3.34	18.6	15.5	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.78,0.72,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.9%
VAN 86, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 78, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%