NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	78		Excitement	7.1 [370]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): +9.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	82		Comeback	1.0 [959]		LVP	Brian Shaw (GSW): -29.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Muggsy Bogues	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	15	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Duane Ferrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	8	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bimbo Coles	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	1	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.03	6	44%	-0.01	5	-0.16	6	33%	-0.07
Joe Smith	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.22,-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	20	44%	-0.04	6	-0.24	3	100%	0.03
Brian Shaw	-0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3	-0.13	-0.18	-0.02	11	27%	-0.18	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	5	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	17	66%	0.16	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.09	-0.07	13	56%	0.01	6	-0.12	8	75%	-0.02
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.19	-0.10	-0.04	6	6%	-0.17	3	-0.09	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	0.8	27.2	14.8	25.5	1.0	36.6	128.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.9%

LAC +12.2%

GSW -22.8%

LAC +19.6%

LAC +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	83.9	87.2	102.5
season	15.6	15.5		92.9	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.2	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	11.7	16.2	17.5	15.5
LAC	13.0	17.1	16.5	14.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	41	40	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.37	20	-24	44	15.2	15.7	-0.55	16.9	14.1	2.79
Dickey Simpkins	18	20	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-13	22	14.9	15.7	-0.76	17.1	14.8	2.29
Muggsy Bogues	50	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-12	20	15.4	15.7	-0.27	15.7	14.8	0.88
Donyell Marshall	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	5	-14	16.6	15.4	1.23	11.5	15.7	-4.25
Tony Delk	60	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.46	10	-14	24	13.9	18.5	-4.62	16.1	13.8	2.33
Felton Spencer	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-2	0	16.8	15.0	1.83	16.9	14.7	2.25
Erick Dampier	68	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-2	0	15.0	16.8	-1.83	14.7	16.9	-2.25
Bimbo Coles	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	8	-20	15.3	15.7	-0.36	14.5	16.0	-1.45
Duane Ferrell	44	42	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	9	-22	15.7	15.3	0.42	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Joe Smith	60	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	14	-32	15.9	14.8	1.02	14.8	16.3	-1.53
Brian Shaw	45	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.18	-11	7	-18	17.6	13.5	4.06	13.9	16.6	-2.70

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	77	76	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.27	18	-14	32	15.0	16.6	-1.65	16.8	9.5	7.31
Lorenzen Wright	73	72	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-5	14	14.8	16.9	-2.07	14.6	18.6	-3.96
Lamond Murray	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.20	11	-7	18	14.9	17.3	-2.34	15.8	13.8	1.93
Brent Barry	76	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	-4	12	15.0	16.7	-1.76	14.9	18.4	-3.54
Stojko Vrankovic	45	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.15	12	-8	20	15.1	15.4	-0.32	14.8	16.3	-1.49
Rodney Rogers	38	37	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.50	-12	16	-28	15.6	15.1	0.47	15.9	15.2	0.69
Keith Closs	18	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	4	-4	16.6	15.0	1.62	17.0	15.2	1.83
Maurice Taylor	28	26	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.25	-8	12	-20	16.5	14.8	1.76	16.9	15.0	1.97
Eric Piatkowski	30	28	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.30	-13	17	-30	16.4	14.8	1.67	15.2	15.6	-0.37
James Robinson	5	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	9	-14	18.2	15.1	3.07	6.0	16.0	-10.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 95, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.91,0.96,1	92.3%
TOR 84, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
CHI 93, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,1	91.9%