NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	84		Excitement	5.5 [705]		MVP	Dell Curry (TOR): +17.6%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	1.0 [1186]		LVP	Mark Jackson (TOR): -15.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.02	0.13	-0.03	9	67%	0.25	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	48%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Willis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	14	57%	0.05	4	-0.13	7	57%	-0.02
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	9	32%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	45%	-0.05	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Mark Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.12	-0.01	25	61%	0.29	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	3	117%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	4	58%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	55%	0.00	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.04
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	40.2	2.0	28.1	15.7	23.2	2.3	27.7	139.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +36.4%

TOR -3.3%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	UTA	NBA	TOR	UTA	NBA
this game	17.7	14.8	15.5	94.4	111.4	100.9
season	15.8	16.0		103.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		100.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.9	17.0	15.9	20.4	17.7
UTA	12.6	14.3	16.1	16.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	43	43	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-8	2	17.7	17.7	-0.02	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Morris Peterson	53	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-14	14	17.4	18.2	-0.81	15.6	13.7	1.97
Corliss Williamson	44	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	0	-14	17.8	17.6	0.17	14.1	15.6	-1.46
Kevin Willis	81	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	17.6	18.7	-1.17	14.7	15.9	-1.17
Dell Curry	57	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	17.6	17.9	-0.30	16.0	12.6	3.39
Alvin Williams	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-4	-6	17.8	17.1	0.68	14.6	16.5	-1.92
Antonio Davis	81	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	0	-14	17.9	16.0	1.85	14.7	16.0	-1.27

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	61	62	0.75	-0.25	1.00	-0.01	26	-12	38	15.1	14.3	0.84	17.4	18.3	-0.88
Karl Malone	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	2	10	15.0	13.9	1.07	17.7	17.7	-0.07
Bryon Russell	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	1	12	14.8	14.8	0.03	17.7	17.6	0.12
Danny Manning	20	21	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.04	12	2	10	15.9	14.5	1.37	18.2	17.5	0.72
John Stockton	58	59	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.02	10	4	6	14.4	15.8	-1.40	18.5	16.0	2.54
Olden Polynice	38	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	3	8	13.7	15.7	-1.99	16.8	18.4	-1.59
Jacque Vaughn	30	30	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	10	-6	15.8	14.4	1.40	16.0	18.5	-2.54
David Benoit	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	11	-8	14.4	14.9	-0.54	17.6	17.7	-0.08
Quincy Lewis	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	17	-20	15.1	14.8	0.34	19.3	17.3	2.00
Greg Ostertag	40	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	23	-32	15.2	14.5	0.75	18.3	17.2	1.10
DeShawn Stevenson	9	9	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.06	-9	23	-32	12.6	15.1	-2.55	16.3	17.8	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.86,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 89, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	93.8%
SEA 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.75,0.79,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
LAL 102, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,1	93.7%