NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	89		Excitement	6.0 [615]		MVP	Donatas Motiejunas (HOU): +19.1%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.0 [994]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -21.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Eric Moreland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	78%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Ray McCallum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	17	41%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.05	9	64%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	18	59%	0.10	7	-0.20	13	85%	0.02
Ramon Sessions	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.08	0.01	15	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	16	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kostas Papanikolaou	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	27%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.11
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.09	0.04	31	38%	-0.18	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	27.9	15.7	28.5	2.4	29.5	132.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +34.1%

SAC -20.2%

SAC -4.9%

HOU +38.3%

HOU +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	HOU	NBA	SAC	HOU	NBA
this game	14.9	15.7	15.1	93.7	109.7	104.2
season	14.9	14.3		103.7	105.6
opponent	14.9	14.8		103.1	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.5	14.1	13.2	16.1	14.9
HOU	14.1	16.5	16.2	15.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Moreland	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	11.0	15.0	-3.99	22.0	15.6	6.37
Nik Stauskas	29	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-12	11	15.8	14.6	1.22	13.7	16.6	-2.89
Ramon Sessions	66	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-11	9	15.1	14.7	0.37	16.7	13.6	3.07
Derrick Williams	22	22	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-3	-7	14.5	15.1	-0.58	13.2	16.5	-3.24
Carl Landry	32	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-6	-1	16.0	14.4	1.54	13.8	16.7	-2.87
DeMarcus Cousins	74	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	14.5	16.4	-1.90	16.0	14.8	1.15
Ben McLemore	74	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-6	-1	14.8	15.5	-0.68	16.1	14.3	1.72
Ray McCallum	29	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	14.7	15.1	-0.37	13.6	16.7	-3.07
Omri Casspi	79	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-8	3	15.0	14.7	0.31	16.7	10.9	5.75
Jason Thompson	69	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	0	-13	14.9	15.2	-0.28	16.3	14.0	2.30

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	79	82	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	1	11	15.6	16.1	-0.44	15.1	13.8	1.28
Donatas Motiejunas	71	73	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.09	13	0	13	16.0	14.9	1.09	15.3	13.9	1.35
Kostas Papanikolaou	57	56	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	3	7	15.1	16.7	-1.62	14.9	15.0	-0.05
Isaiah Canaan	61	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	0	13	16.0	15.1	0.88	14.7	15.5	-0.84
James Harden	71	72	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	8	-3	16.1	14.5	1.63	15.0	14.7	0.39
Jason Terry	32	31	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	13	-13	15.1	16.0	-0.88	15.5	14.7	0.84
Francisco Garcia	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	8	-3	14.7	16.3	-1.61	14.6	15.2	-0.61
Tarik Black	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	10	-7	17.4	15.0	2.39	16.1	14.4	1.70
Joey Dorsey	32	33	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	13	-13	14.8	16.1	-1.30	13.3	15.8	-2.57
Troy Daniels	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	22.0	15.6	6.37	11.0	15.0	-3.99
Nick Johnson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	11	-9	22.0	15.6	6.37	11.0	15.0	-3.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.93,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,1	93.8%
TOR 84, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
BOS 82, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%