NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	6.9 [465]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): +31.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	112		Comeback	1.0 [1265]		LVP	Brian Cook (LAL): -16.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0.18	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.10	0.00	8	68%	0.20	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	18	78%	0.35	7	-0.19	9	100%	0.06
Andrew Bynum	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.00	9	78%	-0.04
Smush Parker	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	79%	0.17	8	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	38%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	6	43%	0.03	4	-0.13	9	78%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	8	11%	-0.17	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.25	0.10	0.03	20	77%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.01	9	59%	0.19	3	-0.07	9	67%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.03
Primoz Brezec	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	21	47%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	9	48%	0.00	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.12	8	-0.21	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	1.8	32.0	15.8	29.3	2.6	41.4	153.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.8%

LAL -13.9%

CHA +1.3%

CHA +21.4%

CHA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	15.6	103.0	112.0	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		106.2	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	15.7	13.0	13.1	14.1
CHA	12.4	15.6	14.2	17.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	9	10	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.11	9	-19	28	12.7	14.3	-1.60	17.0	14.6	2.42
Luke Walton	50	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.26	5	-15	20	13.6	14.7	-1.13	15.9	13.6	2.26
Devin Green	6	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-6	2	14.3	14.1	0.23	19.2	14.5	4.62
Sasha Vujacic	33	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-8	6	14.8	13.8	1.00	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Devean George	72	73	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-10	10	13.9	14.6	-0.70	14.2	16.4	-2.17
Brian Cook	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	16.0	13.0	3.01	15.2	14.6	0.59
Smush Parker	87	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.13	-8	-2	-6	14.1	14.2	-0.05	14.7	15.4	-0.65
Kobe Bryant	86	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	13.5	18.5	-5.00	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Chris Mihm	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	7	-24	13.4	15.7	-2.31	14.3	15.8	-1.54
Kwame Brown	47	46	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.02	-19	9	-28	15.6	12.8	2.77	14.7	14.9	-0.19

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	85	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-4	18	14.6	16.3	-1.70	14.0	15.1	-1.11
Primoz Brezec	75	76	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.17	12	-2	14	15.3	13.3	2.05	14.9	11.6	3.33
Brevin Knight	85	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	1	8	15.4	11.8	3.55	14.1	14.4	-0.38
Melvin Ely	66	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.20	8	2	6	16.2	12.1	4.18	14.5	13.3	1.21
Raymond Felton	78	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-2	14	14.2	17.0	-2.85	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Kareem Rush	44	42	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	12	-14	14.8	14.9	-0.08	14.4	13.9	0.49
Jake Voskuhl	40	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	10	-10	12.5	16.4	-3.87	13.2	14.7	-1.60
Bernard Robinson	27	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	13	-16	14.4	15.0	-0.62	13.3	14.4	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	94.7%
MIL 99, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	94.5%
DEN 79, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.95,0.94,0.91,1	94.2%