inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 79 Excitement6.2 [339] MVPTerry Cummings (GSW): +11.7%
Golden State Warriors 85 Comeback1.0 [694] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -13.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cory Alexander0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.02-0.01775%0.124-0.092100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Washington-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,00.03-0.020.02669%0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Johnny Taylor-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Eric Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.070.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.021747%-0.061-0.01944%-0.04
Nick Van Exel-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.140.01-0.021325%-0.072-0.042100%0.02
Bryant Stith-0.120,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.0140%-0.081-0.0400%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.020.002649%-0.006-0.13786%0.03

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Cummings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.120.120.040.080.001162%0.141-0.024100%0.04
John Starks0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.00-0.030.01-0.021647%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.02250%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.0120%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01657%0.033-0.062100%0.01
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.1,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01945%0.022-0.062100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.04320%-0.021-0.04450%-0.01
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021239%-0.041-0.02475%-0.01
Bimbo Coles0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.02737%-0.032-0.042100%0.02
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.05-0.00943%-0.061-0.04580%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.527.815.723.51.736.2130.9
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +12.8%
GSW +13.0%
GSW +20.0%
GSW +1.3%
GSW +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game15.715.415.884.992.499.6
season15.515.9100.795.1
opponent15.515.698.1107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.213.518.614.915.7
GSW13.216.515.716.415.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Washington6464-0.13-0.370.24-0.306-121815.416.4-1.0717.011.75.28
Eric Williams1211-0.14-0.360.230.04-60-615.415.8-0.3416.515.31.17
Chauncey Billups2222-0.23-0.270.050.12-126-1816.115.60.5012.716.3-3.60
Bryant Stith4140-0.23-0.270.040.06-104-1417.614.23.3513.916.6-2.70
Johnny Taylor3132-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.08-60-615.116.0-0.9716.514.81.65
Danny Fortson7876-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.392-81015.417.1-1.7015.515.10.36
Nick Van Exel7978-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-4215.815.40.4215.117.2-2.11
Cory Alexander5352-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.442-81014.816.9-2.1315.515.30.22
Antonio McDyess8585-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.32-4-2-216.012.63.3815.317.1-1.86

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Muggsy Bogues44440.63-0.130.750.3011-51615.815.00.8015.615.8-0.23
Chris Mills49490.500.000.490.297-1815.815.00.7115.416.0-0.64
Erick Dampier45480.420.080.350.0712-61815.815.00.7816.514.91.63
Jason Caffey54530.320.180.130.1460615.415.40.0016.514.71.73
John Starks73730.290.210.070.2033015.017.1-2.1215.117.9-2.79
Terry Cummings37360.220.28-0.050.28-28-1016.414.71.6915.116.1-1.07
Tony Delk9110.110.39-0.280.1106-615.815.40.3919.515.24.25
Donyell Marshall34340.070.43-0.360.0706-615.115.6-0.4915.415.9-0.47
Adonal Foyle22220.060.44-0.390.09-17-814.515.7-1.1514.116.2-2.12
Antawn Jamison45460.020.48-0.460.05-17-815.115.7-0.5715.915.50.40
Bimbo Coles4849-0.130.63-0.750.02-511-1615.015.8-0.8015.815.60.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.95,0.94,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 102, CHA 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,194.2%
DAL 89, MEM 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,193.5%
MIL 99, IND 1070.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,193.0%