NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	89		Excitement	5.8 [517]		MVP	Gilbert Arenas (MEM): +23.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	1.0 [792]		LVP	Brian Cardinal (DAL): -7.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	8	82%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	16	47%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	-0.00	6	82%	0.26	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.01	15	71%	0.27	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.01	15	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	12	36%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	8	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.4	28.5	16.4	27.6	2.4	34.3	141.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -0.7%

MEM +25.9%

MEM +7.6%

MEM +16.0%

MEM +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	16.6	15.6	97.8	101.1	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		101.6	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.9	13.7	15.2	13.0	14.7
MEM	15.1	16.9	14.2	20.3	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	6	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-3	1	18.0	14.5	3.52	10.4	17.1	-6.64
Lamar Odom	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	2	-9	15.9	14.6	1.30	14.0	16.8	-2.81
Vince Carter	60	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-4	3	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.6	18.4	-2.78
Brandan Wright	68	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.41	8	-13	21	14.1	16.4	-2.30	17.2	14.6	2.61
Delonte West	46	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	14.9	14.6	0.31	17.2	15.9	1.23
Shawn Marion	61	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-4	3	15.0	14.1	0.97	17.7	14.0	3.68
Dirk Nowitzki	68	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-8	11	14.1	16.5	-2.42	17.3	14.4	2.89
Brendan Haywood	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	8	-21	17.1	13.9	3.19	14.6	17.2	-2.53
Rodrigue Beaubois	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	0	-5	14.3	15.2	-0.92	15.7	17.5	-1.80
Jason Terry	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	0	-5	14.6	15.2	-0.62	16.7	16.2	0.54

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	64	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	2	1	16.6	16.4	0.18	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Zach Randolph	56	57	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	16.9	16.1	0.86	13.8	16.3	-2.48
Marc Gasol	61	59	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-5	15	16.7	16.3	0.34	15.2	13.8	1.44
Rudy Gay	62	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-6	17	15.8	18.0	-2.19	15.6	12.7	2.89
Gilbert Arenas	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	6	-7	17.2	16.2	1.05	14.0	15.1	-1.12
Mike Conley	56	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	16.2	17.1	-0.85	15.1	14.1	1.02
Hamed Haddadi	7	8	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	2	1	12.3	16.9	-4.63	16.0	14.6	1.41
Marreese Speights	40	39	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	4	-3	16.2	16.8	-0.56	15.1	14.5	0.59
Quincy Pondexter	64	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	11	-17	17.1	15.3	1.78	14.3	15.5	-1.22
Dante Cunningham	21	19	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	13	-21	17.5	16.3	1.17	14.7	14.7	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.4%
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	94.3%
MIL 99, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.99,1	94.1%