NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	6.5 [560]		MVP	Aron Baynes (BOS): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.1 [1155]		LVP	Semi Ojeleye (BOS): -15.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julius Randle	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.05	-0.03	13	60%	0.14	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Ingram	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.04
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	15	30%	-0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	12	66%	0.17	2	-0.06	8	62%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.00	15	56%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	11	37%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	2	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	21	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	11	35%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	6	27%	-0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.7	31.3	14.4	28.3	2.8	27.4	133.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -1.7%

BOS +6.3%

BOS +25.9%

BOS +17.9%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	BOS	NBA	LAL	BOS	NBA
this game	12.3	15.8	14.7	94.1	103.9	107.5
season	13.7	15.1		105.7	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.8		103.5	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	11.3	12.2	12.4	12.3
BOS	14.0	14.9	14.9	20.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-9	7	13.8	11.4	2.40	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Julius Randle	44	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-16	21	12.0	12.4	-0.37	16.2	15.5	0.75
Andrew Bogut	15	14	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	1	-13	9.7	12.7	-2.96	13.4	16.2	-2.86
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	77	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-10	9	12.3	12.0	0.28	15.3	17.3	-1.93
Josh Hart	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	12.0	12.4	-0.39	15.9	15.8	0.08
Kyle Kuzma	70	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.29	0	-11	11	12.6	11.4	1.19	16.3	14.6	1.73
Jordan Clarkson	60	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-5	-1	11.6	13.2	-1.63	15.8	15.8	0.05
Lonzo Ball	80	82	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-6	1	12.5	11.2	1.31	16.0	15.3	0.68
Corey Brewer	24	24	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.09	-14	3	-17	11.1	12.6	-1.53	16.8	15.5	1.31
Brandon Ingram	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	-12	1	-13	12.4	11.7	0.71	15.5	16.7	-1.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	50	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-3	17	16.1	15.6	0.50	11.7	12.7	-0.99
Marcus Smart	76	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	-5	21	16.1	14.9	1.22	11.7	13.6	-1.91
Terry Rozier	59	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	11	-11	16.6	14.8	1.84	11.6	13.1	-1.43
Marcus Morris	53	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	15.5	16.1	-0.61	13.3	11.3	1.97
Semi Ojeleye	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	1	9	16.5	15.0	1.41	11.2	13.6	-2.39
Jaylen Brown	73	73	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	0	11	14.6	18.8	-4.15	12.4	11.9	0.45
Kyrie Irving	71	73	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	9	-7	15.2	17.1	-1.89	12.2	12.4	-0.17
Shane Larkin	11	10	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	11	-11	20.3	15.3	4.98	13.5	12.1	1.38
Jayson Tatum	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	12	-13	14.9	16.0	-1.08	14.4	11.8	2.66
Aron Baynes	46	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	14	-17	15.7	15.9	-0.23	13.3	11.3	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,1	94.4%
HOU 86, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
SAC 108, POR 114	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.93,1,1	94.3%