NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	89		Excitement	5.5 [677]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +9.4%
Orlando Magic	100		Comeback	1.0 [1240]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -19.3%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Greg Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	81%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Roy Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	18	55%	0.11	6	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	5	46%	-0.05	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	10	25%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.06	0.01	13	41%	-0.09	3	-0.10	6	50%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	47%	-0.03	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	27.4	15.8	24.8	0.8	29.4	126.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +18.3%

ORL +6.9%

ORL +4.2%

ORL +16.4%

ORL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	ORL	NBA	VAN	ORL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.6	15.6	103.5	114.9	104.4
season	16.3	16.4		97.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	15.9	14.9	16.4	19.9	16.7
ORL	15.4	17.8	17.9	15.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	16	17	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.17	11	-22	33	13.1	17.5	-4.39	18.1	16.2	1.82
Blue Edwards	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-7	3	15.6	16.8	-1.18	13.9	16.8	-2.98
Chris Robinson	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-13	15	16.7	16.7	0.09	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Lee Mayberry	19	20	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-6	1	20.5	15.6	4.85	15.0	17.1	-2.01
Greg Anthony	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	15.6	20.5	-4.85	17.1	15.0	2.01
Roy Rogers	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	0	-11	19.9	14.4	5.49	17.1	16.3	0.82
Bryant Reeves	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-2	-7	15.6	22.6	-7.02	16.5	17.2	-0.73
Anthony Peeler	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	3	-17	16.4	17.2	-0.84	16.9	16.1	0.84
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	16.8	15.6	1.18	16.8	13.9	2.98
Aaron Williams	39	40	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.10	-12	1	-13	17.7	15.9	1.87	15.5	17.5	-2.03

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rony Seikaly	68	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	2	7	16.8	15.9	0.83	17.4	14.4	2.99
Horace Grant	67	65	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	17.4	14.0	3.31	16.8	16.5	0.23
Dennis Scott	71	71	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	1	9	15.9	19.9	-4.02	16.9	15.8	1.09
Gerald Wilkins	62	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	6	-1	17.1	15.3	1.79	17.6	14.4	3.18
Brian Shaw	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	6	-1	15.6	17.4	-1.85	16.5	16.9	-0.42
Derek Strong	23	23	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	6	-1	14.7	17.3	-2.59	17.3	16.5	0.89
Anfernee Hardaway	70	69	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	16.8	15.8	0.96	15.3	22.4	-7.12
Darrell Armstrong	20	20	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	7	-3	19.0	15.9	3.12	16.9	16.6	0.33
Dan Schayes	14	14	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	11	-11	15.1	16.9	-1.73	14.4	17.1	-2.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, CHA 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.94,1,1	94.7%
OKC 79, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.6%
CHH 83, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.67,0.8,0.74,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%