NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	6.7 [454]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +13.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.1 [1032]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -25.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.04	0.03	9	70%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Jefferies	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	15	47%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	15	43%	-0.12	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26	-0.18	-0.09	-0.01	18	33%	-0.11	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	14	72%	0.20	3	-0.07	11	55%	-0.05
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	6	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	22	57%	0.06	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	20	43%	-0.03	4	-0.14	9	44%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.3	26.8	15.8	22.5	2.5	36.9	129.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +63.1%

CHI -0.5%

CHI -0.0%

CHI -15.4%

MIN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.6	15.7	94.9	98.0	100.5
season	15.2	15.6		94.6	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		98.4	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	13.9	15.7	15.4	15.6
MIN	11.1	14.9	14.3	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	48	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-16	27	15.4	15.7	-0.30	14.9	12.3	2.60
Corie Blount	46	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-9	13	14.0	16.9	-2.92	13.2	13.9	-0.72
Chris Jefferies	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-2	-1	14.4	15.7	-1.28	9.7	13.9	-4.14
Jerome Williams	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	2	-9	16.6	14.7	1.94	13.9	13.3	0.68
Kendall Gill	82	84	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-4	3	15.0	18.6	-3.60	13.8	12.4	1.41
Eddy Curry	48	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	15.3	15.8	-0.47	14.1	13.0	1.12
Antonio Davis	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.23	-8	3	-11	16.4	14.4	1.98	13.1	14.1	-0.95
Kirk Hinrich	85	87	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	2	-9	15.7	14.7	0.99	13.3	15.3	-2.01
Jamal Crawford	73	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.22	-17	12	-29	16.1	13.9	2.24	13.1	14.9	-1.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	79	78	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-6	17	13.1	15.2	-2.06	15.8	14.4	1.45
Sam Cassell	81	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	1	3	13.7	12.9	0.82	15.6	15.2	0.44
Kevin Garnett	84	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	2	1	13.5	14.1	-0.67	15.9	13.7	2.23
Latrell Sprewell	86	84	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.36	-1	6	-7	13.6	13.1	0.57	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Oliver Miller	48	47	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	2	1	12.6	14.4	-1.80	16.1	15.0	1.11
Ervin Johnson	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	-2	9	14.1	13.3	0.76	16.2	15.2	0.95
Fred Hoiberg	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.19	-1	6	-7	13.4	13.7	-0.25	14.2	16.4	-2.24
Gary Trent	24	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	8	-11	15.9	12.8	3.05	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Keith McLeod	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	4	-3	12.9	13.7	-0.82	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Mark Madsen	6	6	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	16.0	13.4	2.60	13.2	15.7	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 84, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.86,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
NYK 95, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.91,0.96,1	93.1%
MEM 89, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.98,1,1	93.0%