NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	95		Excitement	6.8 [481]		MVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): +39.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	1.0 [723]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): -8.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawne Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.04	11	59%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	13	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.05
Jared Jeffries	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	13	27%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	0.09	-0.10	0.03	14	64%	0.09	2	-0.13	8	87%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	28	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.4	0.40	0.24	0.17	0.01	13	83%	0.41	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	13	100%	0.08
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.05	0.03	17	55%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	29.0	17.8	26.3	2.4	42.4	145.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.7%

MIL +24.1%

MIL +21.6%

NYK -11.4%

NYK -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	14.0	17.3	15.5	102.2	109.9	105.7
season	14.3	16.2		108.6	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	12.3	15.8	13.8	14.0
MIL	15.2	19.0	17.8	17.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-14	23	13.7	14.1	-0.39	18.4	16.8	1.63
Jared Jeffries	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.19	-9	4	-13	13.5	14.1	-0.58	14.3	18.0	-3.75
Ronny Turiaf	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-15	25	14.6	13.5	1.08	19.1	15.6	3.55
Shelden Williams	12	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.16	-12	7	-19	16.5	13.6	2.87	17.7	17.3	0.40
Shawne Williams	55	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.38	5	-10	15	12.7	15.9	-3.25	17.0	17.9	-0.95
Landry Fields	43	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-1	-3	13.9	14.1	-0.26	17.5	17.2	0.26
Chauncey Billups	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	7	-19	15.0	12.5	2.47	18.0	16.3	1.71
Carmelo Anthony	73	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	6	-17	13.9	14.2	-0.25	16.3	21.0	-4.69
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.55	4	-9	13	14.1	13.5	0.58	18.0	14.3	3.75
Toney Douglas	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	13.7	14.5	-0.87	16.2	19.3	-3.13

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	74	75	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-10	25	17.6	16.4	1.14	14.5	12.0	2.48
Carlos Delfino	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-1	7	17.9	13.2	4.73	14.0	13.7	0.38
Brandon Jennings	77	79	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-8	21	17.7	15.4	2.26	14.7	9.9	4.88
John Salmons	78	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-8	21	16.5	22.4	-5.88	14.3	12.2	2.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	87	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-4	13	17.2	20.2	-3.04	14.1	12.8	1.27
Earl Boykins	12	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.19	-8	13	-21	14.6	17.8	-3.18	10.0	14.5	-4.54
Keyon Dooling	26	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	14	-23	18.3	16.9	1.41	12.5	14.6	-2.10
Larry Sanders	14	16	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	12	-19	15.3	17.7	-2.43	12.9	14.2	-1.36
Jon Brockman	7	7	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	12	-19	20.9	17.0	3.81	10.6	14.3	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.86,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.9,0.94,0.91,1	93.1%
GSW 78, LAC 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.85,1	92.3%
SAC 89, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.93,1,1,1	92.2%