inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 86 Excitement3.8 [1013] MVPJohn Wallace (TOR): +6.8%
Toronto Raptors 104 Comeback1.2 [985] LVPLatrell Sprewell (GSW): -9.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Erick Dampier0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.02874%0.062-0.05367%0.00
Todd Fuller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04729%0.0000.0000%0.00
Carl Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05940%-0.001-0.0020%0.00
B.J. Armstrong-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04250%-0.002-0.01250%-0.00
Donyell Marshall-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.042045%0.022-0.05475%0.00
Dickey Simpkins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.00-0.06514%-0.0400.0040%-0.03
Felton Spencer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.011100%0.034-0.072100%0.01
Joe Smith-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.01-0.051631%-0.041-0.023100%0.01
Adonal Foyle-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00133%-0.031-0.02450%-0.02
Duane Ferrell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00425%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.070,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.03450%0.015-0.0800%0.00
Latrell Sprewell-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.14-0.01-0.051144%-0.035-0.07540%-0.03

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wallace0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.031457%0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Damon Stoudamire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01964%0.0700.00786%0.01
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.02-0.011348%0.0400.001100%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00-0.03771%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Shawn Respert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.02550%0.0100.00667%0.01
Chris Garner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Reggie Slater0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.080.00-0.071041%0.011-0.02743%-0.04
Carlos Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.02637%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Zan Tabak0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.01950%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Doug Christie0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.00-0.051339%-0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.92.425.415.429.41.828.0128.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +29.7%
TOR +3.8%
GSW -12.9%
TOR +29.9%
GSW -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWTORNBAGSWTORNBA
this game13.814.615.685.1102.0102.5
season15.615.592.998.7
opponent14.815.0108.2102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.815.112.312.113.8
TOR13.614.913.916.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Todd Fuller2526-0.01-0.490.48-0.103-212412.114.3-2.2216.114.11.96
Carl Thomas3637-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-141012.214.6-2.4215.913.92.00
Dickey Simpkins3233-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-171612.614.3-1.6516.313.82.54
Erick Dampier4848-0.15-0.350.19-0.04-4-141014.513.01.5014.714.50.17
Donyell Marshall5961-0.16-0.340.17-0.253-212414.113.20.9215.812.92.95
Felton Spencer1212-0.19-0.310.120.10-10-8-214.113.70.389.115.4-6.27
Bimbo Coles6766-0.21-0.290.070.11-11-7-414.711.92.7715.313.41.94
Adonal Foyle2120-0.24-0.260.020.14-13-5-814.613.51.0911.315.4-4.06
Joe Smith6465-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-7-414.013.30.7615.113.71.39
B.J. Armstrong3436-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.08-7-11411.914.7-2.7713.415.3-1.94
Duane Ferrell2827-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-5-814.113.60.4912.115.5-3.41
Latrell Sprewell7979-0.44-0.06-0.380.21-224-2614.112.71.3714.016.9-2.91

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug Christie75750.430.070.35-0.2222-42614.215.8-1.5814.112.81.32
Popeye Jones56550.400.100.29-0.101711613.615.8-2.1613.214.4-1.21
Damon Stoudamire70680.360.140.22-0.2320-22213.716.5-2.7915.011.13.95
Carlos Rogers46470.360.140.22-0.3725-73214.714.60.1013.314.1-0.81
Reggie Slater50480.340.160.170.13711-414.215.0-0.7812.714.7-2.07
Marcus Camby39410.280.210.07-0.151531214.814.50.2516.711.84.89
Tracy McGrady42430.140.36-0.210.14018-1815.913.72.2312.414.8-2.36
Zan Tabak53520.090.41-0.310.24-523-2815.413.81.5413.913.60.31
John Wallace48480.060.44-0.38-0.03315-1214.414.8-0.3813.913.60.35
Shawn Respert20180.040.46-0.420.18-523-2816.814.12.7810.814.4-3.55
Chris Garner11100.000.50-0.500.26-927-3617.314.32.9810.214.1-3.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 86, DAL 1000.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
NYK 77, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.9%
SAC 85, SAS 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%