inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 86 Excitement3.6 [1137] MVPShawn Marion (DAL): +10.3%
Dallas Mavericks 100 Comeback1.3 [1214] LVPDarko Milicic (MIN): -11.3%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.00-0.031250%0.0600.002100%0.00
Wesley Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Love0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.041046%0.032-0.026100%0.03
Michael Beasley0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.011447%0.0000.00667%-0.02
Lazar Hayward0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041100%0.0010.003100%0.00
Sundiata Gaines-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.001-0.002100%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01437%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Sebastian Telfair-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01050%0.013-0.06250%-0.01
Corey Brewer-0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.050.000.02743%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.050.000.011141%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Darko Milicic-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.13-0.00-0.011537%-0.054-0.0720%-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.01-0.071450%0.101-0.004100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.01-0.02470%0.0610.00250%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.01-0.06741%0.071-0.02333%-0.01
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00375%0.072-0.04683%0.01
Brian Cardinal0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.033100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.01-0.051350%0.063-0.04250%-0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.040.000.031060%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.010.00856%0.042-0.042100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.001142%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jason Kidd0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.14-0.00-0.071123%-0.043-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.324.716.726.12.329.3128.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +34.9%
DAL +4.2%
DAL +3.9%
DAL +6.3%
DAL +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDALNBAMINDALNBA
this game13.615.815.588.7101.0105.7
season14.315.7102.7108.5
opponent15.715.1103.8109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN13.611.915.813.213.6
DAL14.715.814.218.715.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lazar Hayward770.00-0.500.50-0.155-192411.013.8-2.7919.415.53.93
Kosta Koufos450.00-0.500.50-0.155-192411.013.7-2.7018.615.62.97
Sundiata Gaines1820-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-131213.613.6-0.0417.115.41.72
Wesley Johnson3941-0.12-0.380.25-0.213-172013.713.50.2215.915.70.25
Sebastian Telfair1312-0.13-0.370.240.07-7-7011.613.9-2.2816.115.70.35
Michael Beasley5860-0.25-0.250.00-0.250-141413.713.50.2115.416.3-0.87
Corey Brewer4342-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-13-1-1213.413.7-0.2616.215.50.68
Darko Milicic7476-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-5-413.314.7-1.4016.015.10.90
Anthony Tolliver3232-0.29-0.21-0.090.18-162-1813.813.50.3415.216.1-0.92
Luke Ridnour6667-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.14-6-8214.012.71.2415.316.7-1.44
Wayne Ellington5455-0.38-0.12-0.250.15-184-2213.513.7-0.1615.715.8-0.07
Kevin Love7778-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.03-13-1-1214.211.32.8815.317.5-2.16

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Marion59570.390.110.28-0.1117-32016.215.11.1013.613.60.02
Dirk Nowitzki53530.340.160.18-0.011221014.217.5-3.3013.014.2-1.21
Jason Kidd58570.320.180.14-0.091401414.817.2-2.4214.712.02.62
Jason Terry55530.320.180.14-0.061311216.315.21.1113.713.50.20
Jose Juan Barea47460.280.220.050.1068-216.714.91.8412.214.9-2.73
Brendan Haywood44440.270.230.03-0.091221016.015.60.3613.413.7-0.33
Tyson Chandler45450.210.29-0.090.0077015.116.4-1.3014.512.81.64
Caron Butler42430.150.35-0.210.03410-614.316.8-2.5114.213.11.16
Brian Cardinal36340.130.37-0.250.07212-1018.014.53.5414.113.30.86
DeShawn Stevenson40390.110.39-0.280.20-317-2015.116.2-1.1013.213.8-0.60
Steve Novak870.000.50-0.500.21-721-2820.115.44.7311.013.8-2.79
Ian Mahinmi870.000.50-0.500.21-721-2820.115.44.7311.013.8-2.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 78, DET 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
GSW 86, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
SAS 71, DET 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%