NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	77		Excitement	3.1 [1178]		MVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): +7.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.6 [795]		LVP	Channing Frye (NYK): -10.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.06	7	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	35%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	23	43%	0.01	5	-0.11	3	67%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.16	-0.01	-0.06	11	36%	-0.02	6	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	71%	0.11	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	56%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	13	67%	0.10	5	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	7	12%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.5	16.5	23.9	2.6	29.4	125.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +24.2%

PHI +7.8%

PHI +2.9%

PHI +15.2%

NYK -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	13.8	15.4	81.1	104.3	104.5
season	15.7	15.5		103.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.2	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.4	16.4	15.9	17.9	16.6
PHI	15.6	12.9	13.5	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	44	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-18	15	17.4	15.9	1.47	13.7	13.9	-0.22
Renaldo Balkman	55	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-17	13	16.7	16.5	0.25	13.5	14.2	-0.71
Jerome James	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.11	-9	-12	3	17.6	16.2	1.31	14.4	13.6	0.75
Steve Francis	31	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-10	-1	17.4	16.2	1.18	12.7	14.4	-1.70
Stephon Marbury	51	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	-12	3	16.1	17.3	-1.21	14.3	13.3	0.94
Eddy Curry	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-9	-3	16.1	17.6	-1.51	13.4	14.6	-1.23
Channing Frye	63	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.29	-23	2	-25	16.4	17.0	-0.62	14.1	13.4	0.68
David Lee	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	-2	-17	17.0	15.8	1.27	14.2	13.2	0.94
Jamal Crawford	80	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	-6	-9	16.1	19.5	-3.38	14.0	12.9	1.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	62	62	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.22	24	-3	27	13.3	14.9	-1.66	16.9	16.2	0.67
Andre Iguodala	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.22	21	0	21	14.1	12.7	1.39	16.7	16.3	0.37
Chris Webber	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.14	18	3	15	14.1	13.3	0.74	16.2	17.6	-1.43
Willie Green	45	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	10	1	14.3	13.4	0.90	15.6	17.5	-1.96
Samuel Dalembert	56	59	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	5	11	13.3	14.6	-1.33	16.7	16.4	0.33
Joe Smith	35	35	0.21	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	13	-5	14.7	13.3	1.35	17.6	16.1	1.50
Kyle Korver	49	51	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.12	10	11	-1	13.4	14.3	-0.90	17.5	15.6	1.96
Rodney Carney	20	21	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	21	-21	12.7	14.1	-1.39	16.3	16.7	-0.37
Alan Henderson	15	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	17	-13	13.7	13.9	-0.21	19.4	16.2	3.20
Kevin Ollie	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	22	-23	15.9	13.2	2.69	16.6	16.6	-0.07
Steven Hunter	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	25	-29	13.2	14.0	-0.83	14.0	17.2	-3.23
Lou Williams	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	12.6	14.0	-1.42	15.3	16.8	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
GSW 86, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SAC 85, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%