inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 85 Excitement3.1 [1155] MVPMichael Finley (SAS): +8.4%
San Antonio Spurs 101 Comeback1.3 [1260] LVPBeno Udrih (SAC): -8.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Thompson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.00-0.02750%0.0400.00475%-0.00
Mikki Moore0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02475%0.0300.0000%0.00
John Salmons0.020,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.11-0.000.081367%0.052-0.037100%0.02
Donte Greene-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02623%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Bobby Brown-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.00850%0.003-0.0400%0.00
Spencer Hawes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00637%-0.022-0.04450%-0.02
Brad Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.02560%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Francisco Garcia-0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.10-0.00-0.021336%-0.023-0.062100%0.01
Beno Udrih-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.000.051150%-0.033-0.06475%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.01590%0.0800.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.00-0.02756%0.0600.002100%0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01685%0.072-0.031100%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02662%0.032-0.004100%0.02
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01558%0.0300.00250%-0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.00562%0.062-0.04667%-0.01
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.060.000.052100%0.011-0.004100%0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02450%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01948%0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.021750%0.046-0.122100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.628.515.626.22.526.3128.9
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +40.6%
SAS +0.9%
SAC -3.5%
SAS +9.5%
SAS +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACSASNBASACSASNBA
this game15.215.815.592.4107.4106.4
season15.016.4104.0106.6
opponent15.715.1103.2112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC12.814.717.815.915.2
SAS14.916.714.317.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shelden Williams78-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-141216.715.01.6916.615.70.89
Donte Greene1314-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-151416.215.01.2617.615.52.16
Bobby Brown2123-0.08-0.420.340.01-3-131015.715.00.7315.415.9-0.55
Francisco Garcia5858-0.20-0.300.09-0.17-1-151415.814.11.7315.516.3-0.76
Mikki Moore3534-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-11615.315.10.2215.915.70.21
Brad Miller5151-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-7-214.715.7-1.0515.316.4-1.17
Jason Thompson4546-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.11-5-11615.015.3-0.2517.514.23.36
Spencer Hawes4649-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-11-5-615.514.80.6114.517.2-2.67
Bobby Jackson3941-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-4-815.614.80.7215.815.8-0.05
Beno Udrih7171-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.04-13-3-1015.015.7-0.7315.915.40.55
John Salmons7475-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-182-2014.218.9-4.6515.716.2-0.50

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili50470.450.050.39-0.1119-32214.717.1-2.4114.715.6-0.83
Tim Duncan53530.420.080.33-0.1419-32215.116.7-1.6414.915.4-0.49
Matt Bonner57590.360.140.220.1097216.215.30.8915.714.11.65
Tony Parker59570.300.200.100.01106414.617.8-3.1714.715.9-1.23
Bruce Bowen38380.220.28-0.050.11412-817.214.92.3515.215.10.10
George Hill35350.200.30-0.100.03610-417.814.63.1715.914.71.23
Michael Finley36370.170.33-0.15-0.00610-415.915.80.1316.214.41.83
Roger Mason Jr.38380.150.35-0.210.06313-1014.816.5-1.6214.415.7-1.34
Anthony Tolliver37330.140.36-0.22-0.0779-215.316.2-0.8914.115.7-1.65
Kurt Thomas41390.080.42-0.330.17-319-2216.715.11.6415.414.90.49
Ime Udoka18170.010.49-0.480.07-218-2017.515.42.0914.915.2-0.33
Jacque Vaughn870.000.50-0.50-0.06214-1216.615.70.8916.715.01.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 86, TOR 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
NYK 77, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
ATL 84, TOR 1280.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%