NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	5.8 [616]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +13.0%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.2 [1159]		LVP	Erick Dampier (IND): -14.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	5	93%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Brent Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	65%	-0.00	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.07
Reggie Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	17	45%	-0.06	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.04
Mark Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.09	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.04
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	8	39%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Jalen Rose	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	4	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	11	37%	-0.15	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.07

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	-0.00	9	72%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	16	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	69%	0.09	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	20	52%	-0.02	3	-0.06	10	80%	0.03
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	26.2	16.3	29.4	2.3	29.6	133.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.9%

IND -6.2%

NYK +11.2%

IND -1.6%

NYK +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.8	16.5	15.6	94.7	101.0	104.4
season	15.3	15.1		103.6	102.0
opponent	16.1	16.3		98.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.7	13.2	14.7	13.5	13.8
NYK	14.5	16.8	14.7	20.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Scott	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	5.0	13.9	-8.87	27.5	16.3	11.22
Jalen Rose	37	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-8	8	13.8	13.7	0.10	16.7	16.4	0.38
Mark Jackson	48	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	14.4	13.1	1.27	15.0	18.2	-3.19
Erick Dampier	54	53	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.25	2	-10	12	13.5	14.2	-0.74	16.1	17.0	-0.93
Rik Smits	56	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-3	-2	13.8	13.8	0.02	15.4	18.2	-2.77
Antonio Davis	60	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	14.3	12.9	1.40	18.0	13.4	4.61
Fred Hoiberg	35	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-7	6	13.3	14.1	-0.78	17.4	15.9	1.50
Travis Best	46	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	13.1	14.4	-1.27	18.2	15.0	3.19
Dale Davis	56	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	3	-14	13.9	13.6	0.33	16.0	17.2	-1.17
Reggie Miller	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	5	-18	13.8	13.6	0.16	15.9	19.2	-3.30

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	81	78	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.25	14	-6	20	15.2	23.8	-8.64	14.1	12.1	2.07
Chris Childs	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-4	16	16.0	17.5	-1.48	13.5	14.4	-0.91
Allan Houston	65	65	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	5	-2	16.9	15.8	1.09	14.3	12.7	1.62
John Starks	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	5	-2	15.9	17.3	-1.44	12.9	15.1	-2.22
Buck Williams	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	11	-14	19.7	14.7	5.09	13.4	14.0	-0.63
Larry Johnson	55	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.24	-2	10	-12	17.7	14.9	2.85	14.9	12.4	2.44
John Wallace	13	12	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	1	6	13.5	17.0	-3.44	13.1	13.9	-0.79
Charles Oakley	69	67	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	1	6	15.5	19.0	-3.52	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Walter McCarty	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	5	-2	21.2	16.0	5.23	12.6	13.9	-1.29
Charlie Ward	33	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	12	-16	17.5	16.0	1.48	14.4	13.5	0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 87, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.5%
OKC 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.1%
MEM 92, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%