NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	87		Excitement	5.7 [700]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +22.0%
Charlotte Bobcats	95		Comeback	1.1 [826]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (SAC): -12.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Acy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	-0.04	0.04	13	73%	0.18	6	-0.17	15	80%	0.01
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.03	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	6	27%	-0.03	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	7	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	23	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	9	11%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.00	13	73%	0.23	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	11	59%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	59%	0.08	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	13	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	47%	0.03	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	6	42%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	30.5	15.6	31.3	1.8	33.2	140.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +55.1%

SAC -7.9%

CHA +3.1%

SAC -2.9%

CHA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHA	NBA	SAC	CHA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	15.1	90.6	101.1	105.2
season	15.4	15.7		104.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	14.7		103.1	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.5	15.8	14.2	16.2	15.1
CHA	13.7	14.8	14.6	18.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Acy	42	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-7	6	14.6	15.5	-0.84	15.3	15.1	0.18
Jimmer Fredette	23	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-6	4	17.9	14.2	3.68	17.2	14.6	2.64
Ben McLemore	57	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.9	14.0	1.92	15.2	15.2	0.01
Rudy Gay	51	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	1	-10	14.7	15.6	-0.96	14.0	16.5	-2.43
DeMarcus Cousins	75	73	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	14.6	16.9	-2.29	14.6	17.1	-2.50
Derrick Williams	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	16.4	14.2	2.20	16.8	14.0	2.87
Isaiah Thomas	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	14.2	18.1	-3.92	14.5	17.5	-2.93
Jason Thompson	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	15.6	14.3	1.33	15.4	14.9	0.45
Travis Outlaw	59	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	3	-14	14.4	16.3	-1.92	15.6	14.7	0.91

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Henderson	69	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	4	0	14.6	16.9	-2.29	14.8	15.9	-1.03
Bismack Biyombo	36	39	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.00	14	-6	20	16.3	14.5	1.79	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Josh McRoberts	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	3	2	15.8	14.5	1.29	15.6	14.7	0.86
Ben Gordon	48	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.24	5	3	2	16.4	13.9	2.52	15.5	14.7	0.72
Ramon Sessions	44	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	-1	10	15.8	14.7	1.12	15.7	14.6	1.07
Kemba Walker	69	68	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.22	3	5	-2	14.4	17.4	-2.99	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Cody Zeller	46	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	14.5	15.8	-1.29	14.7	15.6	-0.86
Al Jefferson	58	57	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	14	-20	14.5	16.3	-1.79	15.1	15.1	0.06
Jeff Taylor	52	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	5	-2	15.4	14.9	0.49	15.5	14.6	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MEM 92, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
OKC 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.5%