NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	93		Excitement	5.4 [713]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +21.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.0 [628]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -28.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.06	-0.00	21	66%	0.26	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Serge Ibaka	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.17	-0.09	0.03	28	43%	-0.06	8	-0.22	13	85%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.10	-0.07	13	62%	0.23	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	18	60%	0.16	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.03	20	58%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	10	60%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	10	37%	0.04	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.8	31.0	18.3	25.0	2.8	40.5	146.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +35.8%

OKC -1.4%

MIN +10.3%

MIN +4.3%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIN	NBA	OKC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	16.7	15.4	98.9	104.2	104.1
season	14.8	15.6		109.3	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.5		103.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.4	14.0	12.8	13.6	13.7
MIN	16.3	14.3	17.8	19.1	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Maynor	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-7	8	16.4	13.4	3.02	14.5	17.0	-2.45
Hasheem Thabeet	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-6	6	17.7	13.4	4.32	17.9	16.6	1.23
Kendrick Perkins	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	14.0	13.5	0.50	15.5	17.7	-2.17
Nick Collison	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	14.1	13.5	0.65	16.9	16.7	0.23
Reggie Jackson	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-7	8	14.0	13.5	0.51	17.9	15.6	2.30
Serge Ibaka	80	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	1	-8	13.2	16.9	-3.69	16.4	18.7	-2.36
Thabo Sefolosha	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	0	-6	13.7	13.7	-0.00	16.7	17.5	-0.82
Russell Westbrook	86	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.2	19.0	-5.78	16.9	15.6	1.23
Kevin Durant	80	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	1	-8	13.7	14.0	-0.34	17.1	14.7	2.38

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Pekovic	74	73	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-6	18	17.4	14.5	2.92	13.5	14.5	-0.98
Andrei Kirilenko	76	77	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.18	9	-3	12	17.3	14.5	2.78	13.9	13.0	0.87
Alexey Shved	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	0	6	16.5	17.3	-0.77	13.2	14.9	-1.73
Luke Ridnour	49	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-5	16	15.1	18.5	-3.36	14.0	13.4	0.59
Jose Juan Barea	45	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	9	-12	17.4	16.2	1.16	13.8	13.7	0.10
Kevin Love	80	79	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	4	-2	16.8	16.6	0.18	13.3	15.7	-2.40
Ricky Rubio	34	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	6	-6	17.4	16.4	1.08	13.7	13.7	0.05
Dante Cunningham	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	9	-12	15.9	17.1	-1.19	14.0	13.6	0.47
Greg Stiemsma	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	7	-8	16.7	16.8	-0.05	16.3	13.4	2.90
Derrick Williams	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	14.1	17.0	-2.91	15.5	13.5	2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, PHX 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.62,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.99,1	94.2%
TOR 97, SEA 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.2%
IND 89, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.84,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1	94.1%