NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	5.5 [718]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +9.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	1.0 [1207]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -14.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	15	63%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Will Solomon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Long	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ike Austin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	17	49%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.01	21	50%	0.03	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	53%	0.02	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Shane Battier	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	10	20%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	14	68%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.04	14	70%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.05
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.02	-0.06	6	0%	-0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	28.5	15.7	28.3	2.5	34.6	136.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +15.6%

LAC +14.6%

LAC +29.5%

MEM -5.7%

MEM -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.6	100.0	117.4	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		96.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.9	14.7	14.9	14.5	15.5
LAC	12.6	15.3	17.1	18.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-13	10	17.2	15.0	2.20	13.8	16.4	-2.67
Ike Austin	8	7	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-10	4	11.0	16.0	-4.95	13.9	15.9	-2.08
Tony Massenburg	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-7	-2	14.0	15.6	-1.65	12.7	16.0	-3.32
Pau Gasol	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-12	8	15.5	15.7	-0.26	16.1	13.1	3.06
Brevin Knight	62	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-12	8	14.9	16.8	-1.90	16.6	13.9	2.67
Grant Long	28	28	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	0	-16	16.2	15.2	1.00	15.0	16.1	-1.18
Shane Battier	82	81	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	-4	-8	15.8	12.9	2.94	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Lorenzen Wright	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	-6	-4	15.9	12.4	3.41	16.0	13.4	2.59
Jason Williams	87	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.04	-16	0	-16	15.3	20.2	-4.95	15.9	13.7	2.26

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	2	12	16.1	14.5	1.61	15.8	14.3	1.59
Eric Piatkowski	60	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	2	12	14.7	17.7	-2.97	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Quentin Richardson	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	10	-4	16.9	12.9	3.99	14.2	18.8	-4.61
Darius Miles	43	45	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.07	9	7	2	17.0	14.7	2.29	14.8	16.2	-1.46
Elton Brand	68	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	3	10	16.1	15.0	1.06	15.5	15.5	0.08
Sean Rooks	41	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	10	-4	14.8	16.5	-1.72	14.4	16.4	-1.98
Earl Boykins	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	8	0	17.8	14.9	2.88	14.8	15.8	-1.05
Corey Maggette	26	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	6	4	12.9	16.9	-3.99	18.8	14.2	4.61
Michael Olowokandi	32	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	12	-8	14.8	16.3	-1.54	17.8	14.2	3.63
Keyon Dooling	22	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	20	-24	15.1	16.0	-0.91	15.5	15.5	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 89, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	94.2%
OKC 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%
DET 105, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%