NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	105		Excitement	5.1 [774]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +8.6%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.4 [1043]		LVP	Christian Laettner (DET): -24.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.07	24	66%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	25	49%	0.02	2	-0.02	15	87%	0.03
Terry Mills	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	8	31%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.24	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.18	-0.08	-0.02	13	23%	-0.13	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	17	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	15	60%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.04	0.02	10	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	59%	0.10	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.6	27.2	16.7	24.0	2.5	35.6	129.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +46.9%

IND +1.5%

IND +0.8%

DET -3.8%

IND +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	13.5	16.2	15.2	108.2	118.6	101.7
season	14.1	15.4		104.2	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		101.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.7	13.3	12.8	14.4	13.5
IND	12.4	18.6	14.9	19.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	42	43	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.27	15	-25	40	13.0	13.9	-0.89	19.3	13.7	5.55
Michael Curry	29	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-13	16	13.8	13.4	0.43	19.2	14.9	4.39
Eric Montross	8	9	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.06	3	-13	16	9.4	13.9	-4.52	13.0	16.5	-3.49
Jerome Williams	39	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-10	10	14.0	13.2	0.75	19.2	14.3	4.93
John Crotty	11	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-8	6	16.8	13.1	3.71	21.2	15.5	5.71
Lindsey Hunter	86	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-2	-6	13.1	16.8	-3.71	15.5	21.2	-5.71
Terry Mills	39	39	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.13	-19	9	-28	14.2	13.1	1.09	13.6	17.9	-4.31
Jerry Stackhouse	89	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	1	-12	13.3	15.6	-2.29	15.6	22.1	-6.55
Grant Hill	78	79	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.20	-12	2	-14	13.5	13.5	-0.00	15.6	18.4	-2.80
Christian Laettner	64	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.00	-19	9	-28	13.8	12.9	0.89	14.4	19.5	-5.12

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	81	80	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-2	14	15.8	18.2	-2.50	13.3	14.4	-1.00
Austin Croshere	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	8	-6	15.5	18.2	-2.72	12.6	16.1	-3.44
Jalen Rose	80	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-3	16	15.9	17.4	-1.44	13.7	12.6	1.08
Mark Jackson	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	1	8	14.0	21.5	-7.45	12.7	15.5	-2.73
Rik Smits	61	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	-1	12	13.6	20.4	-6.81	13.4	13.8	-0.38
Derrick McKey	43	44	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.23	1	9	-8	19.2	13.8	5.39	14.8	12.5	2.32
Sam Perkins	36	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	9	-8	19.6	14.1	5.52	14.0	13.3	0.74
Travis Best	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	21.5	14.0	7.45	15.5	12.7	2.73
Jonathan Bender	11	12	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	8	-6	17.5	16.0	1.45	14.6	13.4	1.21
Chris Mullin	3	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	12.3	16.3	-3.95	7.0	13.7	-6.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.67,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.0%
IND 81, MIL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
LAL 81, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%