NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	81		Excitement	5.5 [749]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +4.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.0 [1273]		LVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): -15.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Clarkson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Corey Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Lonzo Ball	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	10	45%	0.00	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	11	26%	-0.10	2	-0.05	5	60%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	16	67%	0.15	5	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.02	0.04	13	66%	0.11	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	64%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	14	46%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.5	14.4	24.6	2.3	35.5	132.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +50.6%

LAL -1.0%

UTA +21.3%

LAL -21.4%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	14.7	90.0	105.5	107.5
season	13.7	15.1		105.7	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.8		103.3	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	14.2	15.5	14.3	14.9
UTA	15.2	15.8	17.2	20.0	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Ennis	10	9	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.04	4	-19	23	11.6	15.3	-3.68	18.1	16.8	1.29
Corey Brewer	9	8	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-20	25	16.3	14.7	1.63	21.9	16.5	5.41
Josh Hart	31	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.24	7	-22	29	15.0	14.8	0.15	18.2	16.3	1.84
Andrew Bogut	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-12	9	21.2	14.2	7.06	14.8	17.2	-2.41
Kyle Kuzma	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-11	7	13.2	16.6	-3.38	17.4	16.6	0.81
Jordan Clarkson	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-17	19	13.9	15.6	-1.62	17.5	16.6	0.91
Julius Randle	34	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-18	21	15.1	14.7	0.36	18.7	15.9	2.75
Brook Lopez	33	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-6	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.27	16.9	17.0	-0.10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	51	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	5	-25	15.3	14.3	0.94	16.6	17.4	-0.82
Larry Nance Jr.	59	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	2	-19	15.2	14.3	0.83	16.1	18.8	-2.76
Lonzo Ball	67	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	4	-23	15.3	13.6	1.75	16.1	19.6	-3.55
Brandon Ingram	63	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.13	-24	9	-33	14.9	14.8	0.07	16.5	18.1	-1.64

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	61	59	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.12	25	-10	35	16.8	17.2	-0.33	15.1	14.5	0.53
Rudy Gobert	67	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.07	22	-7	29	16.7	17.7	-0.98	15.3	13.7	1.64
Donovan Mitchell	50	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	-2	19	16.6	17.4	-0.81	15.4	14.1	1.30
Rodney Hood	56	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	11	-7	17.7	15.7	2.09	15.2	14.3	0.91
Joe Johnson	35	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	8	-1	14.7	18.4	-3.67	15.4	14.5	0.87
Derrick Favors	56	55	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	7	1	18.4	14.7	3.67	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Ricky Rubio	62	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	7	1	17.2	16.5	0.68	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Thabo Sefolosha	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.15	-5	20	-25	17.1	16.9	0.24	15.2	14.7	0.46
Alec Burks	18	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	19	-23	14.8	17.5	-2.63	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Ekpe Udoh	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.13	-7	22	-29	17.7	16.7	0.98	13.7	15.3	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1	95.3%
WAS 99, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
TOR 92, PHI 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%