NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	114		Excitement	5.7 [637]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +13.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	103		Comeback	1.2 [1089]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	11	77%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	11	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	69%	0.11	3	-0.06	15	80%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brent Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	17	45%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Mark Bradtke	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	21	51%	-0.02	3	-0.07	9	56%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.08	0.03	19	47%	-0.09	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	24.4	15.4	24.6	1.6	34.2	127.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +49.1%

PHI -3.7%

PHI -0.1%

IND +2.8%

IND +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	15.6	120.0	107.3	104.4
season	15.3	14.7		103.6	101.4
opponent	14.7	16.3		108.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	16.3	15.5	14.8	15.4
PHI	15.6	15.7	13.8	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	68	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-1	13	15.3	15.7	-0.39	14.8	14.6	0.18
Jalen Rose	44	44	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-2	15	15.5	15.3	0.12	15.7	13.9	1.81
Antonio Davis	35	37	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.10	11	0	11	16.0	15.0	1.01	15.4	14.4	1.08
Reggie Miller	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	3	5	15.3	15.8	-0.54	14.5	15.8	-1.33
Erick Dampier	31	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	5	1	16.5	14.8	1.67	14.8	14.8	0.00
Rik Smits	58	60	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	7	-3	14.9	16.2	-1.31	14.7	14.9	-0.14
Dale Davis	64	62	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	8	-5	15.1	16.1	-1.00	14.6	15.1	-0.58
Fred Hoiberg	7	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	9	-7	12.0	15.7	-3.66	15.7	14.7	1.07
Derrick McKey	46	46	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	11	-11	15.1	15.7	-0.63	13.7	15.7	-2.02
Brent Scott	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	12.0	15.5	-3.46	10.5	14.9	-4.36
Mark Jackson	46	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	13	-15	16.5	14.3	2.20	15.1	14.4	0.72

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	48	47	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.01	1	-12	13	15.6	14.0	1.58	15.3	15.5	-0.22
Mark Bradtke	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	10.5	14.9	-4.36	12.0	15.5	-3.46
Michael Cage	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-6	1	15.6	14.7	0.87	18.0	15.1	2.85
Clar. Weatherspoon	76	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-9	7	14.3	16.5	-2.25	15.7	14.0	1.74
Mark Davis	71	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-7	3	14.3	16.2	-1.99	15.1	16.3	-1.21
Lucious Harris	29	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	16.6	14.0	2.55	15.7	15.2	0.49
Mark Hendrickson	23	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	16.2	14.3	1.85	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Adrian Caldwell	38	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-5	-1	13.7	15.4	-1.71	15.0	15.7	-0.67
Allen Iverson	95	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	3	-17	14.8	12.0	2.80	15.5	12.0	3.46
Jerry Stackhouse	89	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	1	-13	14.6	16.4	-1.79	15.6	12.4	3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.23,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.34,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
CHI 112, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIA 99, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%