inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 99 Excitement5.1 [636] MVPLavoy Allen (PHI): +11.2%
Philadelphia 76ers 79 Comeback1.1 [659] LVPElton Brand (PHI): -9.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.050.03786%0.1110.0000%0.00
Norris Cole0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.01-0.00869%0.0900.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.070,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.080.011650%0.112-0.04650%-0.04
Dwyane Wade0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.020.032054%0.101-0.03875%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.060,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.000.00881%0.112-0.0400%0.00
Chris Bosh0.050,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.020.02-0.041150%0.092-0.042100%0.01
Juwan Howard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.03367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0300.0020%-0.04
Shane Battier-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.05-0.02480%0.111-0.002100%0.02
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.001059%0.0800.002100%0.01
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.001450%0.0200.00450%-0.03
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.000.01844%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Andre Iguodala0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.021045%0.002-0.04250%-0.01
Louis Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.030.010.021738%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.020.011339%-0.0600.00250%-0.01
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.0130%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.030.315.723.51.029.2124.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +47.1%
MIA +0.7%
MIA +5.6%
PHI -5.3%
MIA +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game16.616.315.6113.889.8102.8
season15.515.6105.6101.0
opponent16.115.897.698.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.715.218.714.916.6
PHI15.816.815.617.016.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller40410.55-0.050.59-0.1624-42816.017.1-1.1116.316.4-0.14
Udonis Haslem40410.450.050.39-0.2323-32615.817.2-1.3417.515.32.24
Norris Cole33320.450.050.390.21812-415.517.2-1.6614.617.3-2.75
LeBron James66690.350.150.20-0.211911816.317.3-0.9416.914.32.65
Chris Bosh59570.350.150.19-0.2721-12216.117.6-1.5217.015.11.97
Dwyane Wade59600.320.180.14-0.211821616.317.1-0.7917.314.42.91
Shane Battier34350.230.27-0.040.06614-816.017.0-0.9916.316.4-0.14
Juwan Howard660.000.50-0.500.09-323-2619.516.43.149.016.9-7.88
Dexter Pittman660.000.50-0.500.09-323-2619.516.43.149.016.9-7.88
Joel Anthony3940-0.050.55-0.600.10-525-3018.415.13.3316.416.30.06
Mario Chalmers5353-0.140.64-0.780.10-828-3617.714.82.8715.717.3-1.66

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Francisco Elson88-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-191812.516.7-4.2316.516.6-0.08
Nikola Vucevic98-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-171415.016.5-1.4916.516.6-0.08
Tony Battie3231-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-191815.217.0-1.7118.315.62.67
Elton Brand4141-0.16-0.340.18-0.02-5-151015.816.8-0.9617.216.01.17
Andre Iguodala6361-0.20-0.300.110.13-11-9-216.615.70.8717.115.41.70
Jodie Meeks4443-0.21-0.290.07-0.10-4-161215.617.1-1.5017.315.81.53
Evan Turner4343-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-18-2-1616.416.20.2015.417.7-2.24
Louis Williams5455-0.34-0.16-0.180.13-16-4-1216.116.7-0.5915.817.9-2.06
Thaddeus Young4848-0.35-0.15-0.190.09-15-5-1017.415.02.4115.917.5-1.61
Jrue Holiday6564-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.06-11-9-216.815.21.5816.616.40.19
Lavoy Allen3333-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-15-5-1017.715.52.1716.016.9-0.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 114, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
CLE 96, BOS 870.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,094.5%
POR 91, TOR 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,094.5%