NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	5.4 [702]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (CLE): +9.2%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.2 [1006]		LVP	Bob Sura (CLE): -16.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	76%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Danny Ferry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.02	0.04	12	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	14	71%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Donny Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	17	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Antonio Lang	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	7	59%	0.02	7	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brett Szabo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Alton Lister	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Hamer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marty Conlon	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	13	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Eric Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Todd Day	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	14	44%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	0.07	19	58%	0.02	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	23%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.07
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	9	39%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	27.0	15.5	27.2	1.8	29.2	124.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.2%

CLE +12.3%

CLE +25.8%

BOS -16.1%

CLE +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	18.6	14.7	15.6	111.6	100.0	104.4
season	17.8	14.8		102.1	101.8
opponent	14.7	16.1		109.5	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	17.9	22.8	17.7	18.6
BOS	13.2	17.3	14.3	14.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-10	29	18.4	20.3	-1.97	14.5	15.7	-1.15
Terrell Brandon	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	18.8	17.6	1.28	14.5	15.7	-1.24
Chris Mills	73	75	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	18.7	18.5	0.12	13.9	19.5	-5.59
Antonio Lang	19	18	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	3	3	21.8	17.7	4.11	19.8	13.3	6.43
Vitaly Potapenko	25	26	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.22	2	7	-5	19.5	18.3	1.18	17.7	13.4	4.30
Bob Sura	73	76	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	8	-7	18.1	21.8	-3.69	14.0	19.1	-5.05
Danny Ferry	73	73	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	12	-15	18.6	18.7	-0.06	13.8	19.4	-5.66
Donny Marshall	21	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	9	-9	16.9	19.2	-2.30	16.1	14.2	1.93

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	24	23	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-13	17	15.4	14.4	1.02	17.9	18.9	-1.05
Todd Day	67	67	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-12	15	13.7	18.0	-4.31	18.9	17.8	1.02
Brett Szabo	23	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-16	23	15.0	14.5	0.50	17.4	19.1	-1.75
Marty Conlon	65	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-7	5	14.0	16.7	-2.74	18.8	18.3	0.49
Steve Hamer	20	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	13.7	15.0	-1.21	17.4	19.0	-1.62
Eric Williams	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	15.1	14.3	0.78	20.1	17.3	2.82
David Wesley	63	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-4	-1	14.0	16.6	-2.63	19.3	16.9	2.45
Alton Lister	21	20	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	17.8	13.7	4.06	17.6	18.9	-1.29
Michael Hawkins	32	30	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.15	-14	5	-19	16.1	13.9	2.24	17.8	19.1	-1.29
Antoine Walker	80	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.14	-18	9	-27	15.0	11.4	3.53	18.5	20.0	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.02,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
ORL 98, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%
LAL 97, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	94.0%