NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	6.2 [568]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +15.2%
Toronto Raptors	81		Comeback	1.2 [765]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -21.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.03	-0.04	13	63%	0.15	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.03	22	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	13	54%	0.03	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	13	39%	-0.06	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.05	-0.01	9	0%	-0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	17	62%	0.18	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	0.03	19	52%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	11	18%	-0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	10	35%	-0.05	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	31.2	16.4	26.9	1.8	26.2	127.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +0.8%

POR +13.0%

POR +23.8%

POR +15.7%

TOR -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	16.8	15.5	15.6	101.1	92.0	102.3
season	16.0	16.2		105.0	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.2	15.1	15.3	21.4	16.8
TOR	15.8	14.9	16.0	15.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	86	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-4	18	16.8	18.5	-1.74	15.7	13.0	2.66
Rasheed Wallace	84	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	16.7	18.8	-2.14	15.8	11.8	3.95
Ruben Patterson	52	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-8	26	17.0	16.6	0.35	15.1	16.1	-1.08
Derek Anderson	47	46	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	17.2	16.4	0.84	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Chris Dudley	23	23	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-2	14	15.2	17.4	-2.23	16.4	15.2	1.19
Dale Davis	67	65	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	12	-14	17.4	15.2	2.23	15.2	16.4	-1.19
Bonzi Wells	23	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	11	-12	16.2	17.0	-0.83	16.6	15.1	1.47
Scottie Pippen	61	59	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.24	-9	19	-28	16.8	16.9	-0.14	15.3	15.9	-0.52
Zach Randolph	3	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	11	-12	17.7	16.8	0.86	10.5	15.6	-5.13
Rick Brunson	4	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	14	-18	18.5	16.8	1.74	13.0	15.7	-2.66

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine Jackson	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	16.0	15.5	0.50	11.5	17.0	-5.45
Keon Clark	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-10	10	15.1	16.1	-1.08	17.7	15.7	2.01
Alvin Williams	62	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	15.8	14.8	1.05	16.5	17.5	-0.98
Morris Peterson	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	15.1	16.4	-1.40	16.5	17.4	-0.85
Jerome Williams	26	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	15.8	15.4	0.48	17.0	16.8	0.19
Hakeem Olajuwon	38	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	14.8	16.1	-1.27	15.8	17.7	-1.86
Vince Carter	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	0	-10	15.6	13.7	1.98	16.6	19.8	-3.21
Antonio Davis	79	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	0	-10	16.1	10.3	5.77	16.9	16.1	0.80
Chris Childs	41	42	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	3	-16	15.3	15.7	-0.41	18.0	15.8	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
MIA 99, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
ATL 109, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.4%