NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	109		Excitement	6.1 [563]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +19.3%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.6 [665]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -14.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	21	62%	0.24	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Josh Childress	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	8	85%	0.19	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.06	0.02	19	60%	0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Josh Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Richardson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Acie Law	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	57%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.15	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	11	18%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	52%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	10	30%	-0.11
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	8	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	0%	-0.09
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	16	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.02	-0.06	9	20%	-0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	22	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.4	29.3	15.8	26.3	2.4	28.6	134.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +39.4%

ATL +11.3%

ATL +3.8%

NYK -5.5%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.4	112.4	102.1	105.7
season	15.4	15.7		104.2	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.7		109.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	14.4	13.1	17.5	14.9
NYK	16.3	14.4	13.6	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	50	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.07	17	-6	23	16.2	13.5	2.73	15.5	14.3	1.24
Joe Johnson	87	85	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	-3	17	14.7	16.4	-1.70	14.9	15.5	-0.65
Marvin Williams	85	85	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	3	5	14.8	15.4	-0.62	15.6	10.5	5.10
Al Horford	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.06	11	0	11	14.4	15.6	-1.20	15.5	14.0	1.48
Acie Law	32	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	7	-3	17.0	13.8	3.22	15.0	15.0	0.05
Josh Smith	70	70	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	9	-7	14.1	16.9	-2.84	14.7	15.7	-0.94
Mike Bibby	65	62	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	4	3	13.8	17.0	-3.22	15.0	15.0	-0.05
Jeremy Richardson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	19.0	14.7	4.26	7.0	15.1	-8.14
Mario West	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	12	-13	19.0	14.7	4.26	7.0	15.1	-8.14
Solomon Jones	11	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	13	-15	13.5	15.1	-1.60	12.3	15.2	-2.91
Zaza Pachulia	19	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	15	-19	16.4	14.5	1.92	13.3	15.4	-2.13

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	68	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-14	17	14.4	16.3	-1.86	14.4	15.9	-1.48
Randolph Morris	37	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-9	7	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Nate Robinson	72	72	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-13	15	14.6	16.0	-1.37	14.7	15.4	-0.76
David Lee	53	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	15.3	14.5	0.79	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Jared Jeffries	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.8	15.1	-0.32	17.8	13.3	4.45
Jamal Crawford	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-2	-7	15.4	14.3	1.15	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Zach Randolph	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	16.1	13.8	2.31	15.0	14.7	0.33
Mardy Collins	19	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	14.3	15.1	-0.88	16.5	14.4	2.11
Fred Jones	57	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-6	1	14.2	16.2	-2.00	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Renaldo Balkman	35	34	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	7	-25	16.4	14.1	2.25	15.1	14.7	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, TOR 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
CHA 109, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
BOS 96, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.02,0	93.6%