NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	96		Excitement	5.7 [668]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +11.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	86		Comeback	1.7 [848]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -17.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.04	0.04	11	79%	0.17	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.02	-0.06	4	60%	0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	12	53%	0.15	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Ray Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17	-0.09	-0.07	0.02	9	29%	-0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	15	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.01	11	71%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	12	47%	-0.05	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.0	15.7	26.0	1.8	33.0	131.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +26.7%

BOS +12.9%

BOS +11.2%

BOS +0.7%

PHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	15.3	106.7	96.6	106.0
season	15.5	15.1		105.7	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.7		108.4	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.1	16.5	17.2	19.4	16.7
PHI	15.9	17.0	15.5	13.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	36	36	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	2	6	16.3	17.0	-0.63	16.8	14.6	2.21
Rajon Rondo	76	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	5	0	16.9	15.8	1.10	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Glen Davis	29	29	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	0	10	16.2	16.9	-0.69	16.1	15.1	0.95
Nate Robinson	24	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	1	8	16.8	16.7	0.11	15.8	15.3	0.53
Marquis Daniels	34	34	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.08	8	2	6	16.7	16.7	-0.06	16.5	14.8	1.68
Paul Pierce	61	59	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	8	-6	17.0	16.0	1.00	15.0	16.4	-1.37
Ray Allen	66	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	9	-8	16.7	16.9	-0.22	15.3	16.0	-0.69
Kevin Garnett	61	60	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.14	0	10	-10	16.9	16.2	0.69	15.1	16.1	-0.95
Kendrick Perkins	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	8	-6	17.0	16.3	0.63	14.6	16.8	-2.21
Brian Scalabrine	9	9	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	5	0	13.4	17.1	-3.63	17.3	15.2	2.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	61	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-12	14	15.6	15.1	0.52	16.4	17.5	-1.16
Marreese Speights	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-7	4	16.5	15.3	1.23	15.7	16.9	-1.18
Rodney Carney	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-3	-4	17.4	15.2	2.26	14.6	17.0	-2.46
Samuel Dalembert	57	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-11	12	15.1	16.2	-1.13	17.3	15.6	1.73
Jason Smith	9	8	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	15.7	15.4	0.23	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Lou Williams	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-5	0	15.3	16.3	-1.05	16.7	16.9	-0.27
Jrue Holiday	54	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-7	4	15.7	15.1	0.67	16.1	17.7	-1.64
Thaddeus Young	45	44	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	4	-18	15.6	15.3	0.24	17.0	16.4	0.57
Andre Iguodala	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	-7	4	15.0	17.0	-2.05	17.0	15.7	1.30
Willie Green	50	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	2	-14	15.4	15.5	-0.05	17.5	15.7	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.6%
DAL 94, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	93.6%