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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 91 Excitement6.3 [527] MVPAntonio Daniels (SAS): +10.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves 85 Comeback1.4 [524] LVPTerrell Brandon (MIN): -23.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Daniels0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.01-0.02967%0.1000.00333%-0.04
Terry Porter0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.04-0.01965%0.121-0.03250%-0.00
Samaki Walker0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00362%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Jaren Jackson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Danny Ferry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Derek Anderson-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01-0.070.04-0.021845%0.011-0.021182%0.02
Avery Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.01344%-0.011-0.0530%-0.04
David Robinson-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.01433%-0.091-0.021060%-0.03
Tim Duncan-0.150,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15-0.14-0.02-0.011948%-0.044-0.111675%-0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00357%0.0100.0010%-0.01
Todd Day0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00646%0.0000.001100%0.01
Reggie Slater00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.01-0.00947%0.011-0.021100%0.01
Dean Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.0010%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.03-0.01542%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.00942%-0.0800.00862%-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.14-0.13-0.03-0.021531%-0.082-0.052100%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.09-0.032451%-0.054-0.111354%-0.04
Terrell Brandon0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24-0.24-0.12-0.110.021332%-0.172-0.07250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.436.515.423.91.730.7133.8
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +59.8%
SAS +1.8%
MIN -21.8%
SAS +4.3%
SAS +5.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMINNBASASMINNBA
this game16.815.315.5101.195.5100.9
season15.915.0103.4102.9
opponent15.915.5101.796.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.713.917.518.716.8
MIN15.015.516.014.715.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Anderson68670.54-0.040.590.4051416.816.9-0.0315.215.7-0.47
Antonio Daniels75750.480.020.460.3642217.812.15.7315.116.6-1.56
Tim Duncan87860.440.060.370.2660617.26.310.8715.315.00.34
Terry Porter59560.380.120.260.2351416.218.0-1.7615.115.7-0.54
David Robinson61580.310.190.130.3106-616.118.5-2.4214.616.7-2.17
Samaki Walker31340.250.250.000.0760617.516.50.9316.614.52.04
Danny Ferry26230.120.38-0.25-0.0560614.617.8-3.1915.315.3-0.03
Steve Kerr560.040.46-0.41-0.0224-219.416.72.7120.015.05.01
Avery Johnson35370.030.47-0.430.06-17-817.516.41.0515.415.20.18
Jaren Jackson33-0.100.60-0.71-0.02-39-1212.017.0-5.0117.315.32.08

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic2222-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-7814.715.5-0.8618.116.41.71
Dean Garrett1515-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-5416.115.20.8917.716.70.99
Sam Mitchell1113-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-2-215.815.30.5612.617.6-4.94
Todd Day1716-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-6616.615.01.5619.716.23.46
Chauncey Billups3330-0.20-0.300.09-0.06-5-1-417.114.32.8118.016.21.78
Reggie Slater98-0.23-0.270.05-0.05-60-617.615.12.4817.516.80.72
LaPhonso Ellis4849-0.25-0.250.00-0.22-1-5415.115.6-0.5716.117.7-1.54
Anthony Peeler5153-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.22-3-3014.915.9-1.0416.916.70.24
Wally Szczerbiak7072-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.25-2-4214.717.8-3.1316.219.3-3.04
Terrell Brandon8586-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.34-4-2-215.119.2-4.1117.013.73.24
Kevin Garnett8486-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.33-5-1-415.316.2-0.9316.719.7-3.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 101, GSW 930.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,095.2%
LAC 97, GSW 850.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,094.9%
HOU 100, CHA 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,094.7%