NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	97		Excitement	5.8 [622]		MVP	Pooh Richardson (LAC): +16.6%
Golden State Warriors	85		Comeback	1.6 [426]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -16.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pooh Richardson	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.02	9	80%	0.18	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.04	-0.04	7	65%	0.10	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	19	47%	0.04	4	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Kevin Duckworth	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	18	62%	0.12	5	-0.10	11	82%	0.01
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.05	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	9	35%	-0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.6	25.8	15.8	23.3	2.6	26.0	118.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.7%

GSW -7.0%

LAC +6.7%

LAC +13.4%

GSW -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.8	14.2	15.6	101.0	88.5	104.4
season	15.8	15.0		102.9	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.1		109.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.8	15.5	14.7	18.6	15.8
GSW	13.4	16.5	13.5	13.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-1	14	16.4	14.9	1.50	14.6	13.4	1.18
Loy Vaught	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	3	6	15.9	15.3	0.64	13.7	16.4	-2.64
Malik Sealy	78	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	3	6	15.9	15.4	0.47	13.7	16.4	-2.64
Bo Outlaw	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	4	4	16.5	15.2	1.30	14.5	13.9	0.66
Pooh Richardson	63	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	5	2	14.7	17.9	-3.23	13.8	14.8	-0.98
Stanley Roberts	17	17	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	1	10	16.0	15.8	0.22	16.7	13.6	3.07
Darrick Martin	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	5	2	17.1	15.0	2.14	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Terry Dehere	18	17	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	9	-6	15.4	15.9	-0.47	16.4	13.7	2.64
Rodney Rogers	30	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	15	-18	15.4	16.0	-0.57	14.1	14.2	-0.12
Kevin Duckworth	50	50	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	16	-20	15.0	16.8	-1.80	13.7	14.7	-0.91

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Price	62	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-15	18	14.0	14.6	-0.64	15.9	15.7	0.15
Todd Fuller	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-11	10	14.3	14.0	0.26	15.1	16.8	-1.72
Clifford Rozier	11	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-4	-4	15.5	14.0	1.55	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Ray Owes	29	28	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-9	6	13.4	14.5	-1.04	17.5	15.1	2.32
Chris Mullin	66	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-5	-2	13.3	16.1	-2.85	15.3	17.1	-1.83
Andrew DeClercq	12	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	15.4	14.0	1.42	15.1	15.9	-0.86
Joe Smith	76	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-7	2	14.7	12.2	2.43	15.7	16.1	-0.35
Latrell Sprewell	88	88	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-9	6	14.0	16.2	-2.26	15.9	15.4	0.49
B.J. Armstrong	34	33	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	3	-18	14.6	14.0	0.64	15.7	15.9	-0.15
Bimbo Coles	46	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	2	-16	14.7	13.7	0.91	16.9	14.9	2.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.9%
MEM 110, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0	94.2%
DET 105, PHX 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%