NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	4.5 [918]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (MEM): +21.5%
Washington Wizards	104		Comeback	1.5 [722]		LVP	Marcin Gortat (WAS): -8.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21	0.17	0.04	0.00	11	84%	0.25	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	14	62%	0.15	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Courtney Lee	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	16	46%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.02	15	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	9	75%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Otto Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	13	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.00	0.07	16	59%	0.05	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	12	62%	0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	27.3	15.5	22.2	1.6	45.5	138.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +33.7%

MEM +8.9%

MEM +3.0%

MEM +6.6%

WAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	WAS	NBA	MEM	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.1	118.3	110.6	105.2
season	16.4	15.1		104.5	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.7	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	14.8	15.0	16.4	15.7
WAS	16.9	14.6	15.6	13.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	72	71	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-4	14	16.5	13.0	3.47	14.8	16.2	-1.40
Tayshaun Prince	60	62	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-10	26	14.9	17.2	-2.32	14.4	16.6	-2.24
Kosta Koufos	34	35	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.04	17	-11	28	16.1	15.5	0.58	17.0	14.0	3.00
Nick Calathes	24	25	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	-6	18	16.2	15.5	0.64	17.4	14.3	3.06
Tony Allen	47	47	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.37	-4	10	-14	16.2	15.2	1.02	15.4	14.9	0.53
Mike Conley	69	69	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	12	-18	15.5	16.2	-0.64	14.3	17.4	-3.06
Courtney Lee	32	34	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	-2	10	14.1	16.5	-2.48	15.7	14.8	0.88
Mike Miller	50	49	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.27	-7	13	-20	16.4	14.9	1.45	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Marc Gasol	68	69	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.38	-11	17	-28	15.7	15.6	0.07	14.4	17.2	-2.78
Ed Davis	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	12.8	16.0	-3.22	19.2	14.7	4.54

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter	23	21	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.36	13	-19	32	12.4	16.0	-3.61	17.2	15.2	1.94
Al Harrington	19	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-5	4	19.5	14.0	5.46	17.1	15.3	1.78
Drew Gooden	12	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.1	-0.13	15.3	15.7	-0.43
Andre Miller	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	2	-10	19.2	14.2	4.96	16.8	15.4	1.39
Chris Singleton	21	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	4	-14	17.9	14.3	3.53	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Bradley Beal	69	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	7	-20	15.9	12.8	3.10	15.4	16.6	-1.26
John Wall	78	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-6	6	14.0	20.4	-6.34	15.2	17.8	-2.57
Marcin Gortat	81	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-6	6	14.7	17.8	-3.17	15.5	17.2	-1.69
Trevor Ariza	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-6	6	14.3	18.9	-4.60	15.5	16.7	-1.28
Trevor Booker	73	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.27	-9	3	-12	14.9	16.0	-1.14	16.2	13.9	2.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 105, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.48,0.41,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0	94.3%
LAC 97, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.2%
IND 119, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.3,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%