NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	5.1 [764]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +28.9%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.4 [725]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -23.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0.29	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.26	0.10	0.06	18	84%	0.34	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Troy Murphy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	94%	0.16	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.03	16	69%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Owens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	12	62%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	8	12%	-0.08	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	13	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	20	62%	0.09	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	14	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.07	8	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.05	0.06	7	67%	0.02	7	-0.18	10	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	29.0	17.7	32.8	0.8	27.2	131.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +68.4%

NYK -7.4%

NYK -4.9%

NYK -7.2%

IND +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	13.4	15.1	15.4	117.8	91.1	105.7
season	13.8	15.7		104.5	103.1
opponent	15.2	15.2		109.9	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	13.1	12.3	13.6	13.4
NYK	13.0	15.7	14.8	17.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	35	37	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	11	5	15.3	12.5	2.80	16.3	14.4	1.91
Danny Granger	79	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	0	27	13.1	14.6	-1.49	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Jeff Foster	44	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.28	22	5	17	14.4	12.6	1.78	15.5	14.7	0.79
Mike Dunleavy	81	81	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.18	18	9	9	12.9	15.6	-2.71	14.5	17.5	-3.01
Troy Murphy	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	8	11	13.0	14.4	-1.39	14.9	15.6	-0.73
Jamaal Tinsley	70	69	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.35	18	9	9	13.1	14.1	-0.92	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Jermaine O'Neal	60	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	16	-5	12.6	14.7	-2.08	14.5	15.9	-1.33
David Harrison	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	25	-23	14.8	13.0	1.81	16.2	14.7	1.48
Kareem Rush	22	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	27	-27	14.6	13.1	1.49	15.6	14.9	0.70
Shawne Williams	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	13.4	13.4	-0.06	16.4	15.0	1.44
Andre Owens	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	26	-25	13.4	13.4	-0.06	16.4	15.0	1.44

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mardy Collins	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-25	23	16.6	15.0	1.59	10.2	13.6	-3.39
Fred Jones	65	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.35	-15	-12	-3	13.6	17.7	-4.09	13.1	13.9	-0.82
Renaldo Balkman	24	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-19	11	16.4	14.7	1.69	14.1	13.2	0.86
Quentin Richardson	72	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	-10	-7	14.8	15.9	-1.08	12.7	15.6	-2.95
David Lee	46	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-9	-9	15.4	14.9	0.52	14.8	12.3	2.53
Zach Randolph	84	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.23	-19	-8	-11	15.0	15.4	-0.32	12.9	15.6	-2.65
Eddy Curry	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-12	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.37	13.4	13.5	-0.18
Jamal Crawford	87	87	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.23	-22	-5	-17	15.4	13.1	2.34	13.5	12.7	0.83
Stephon Marbury	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	-8	-11	16.0	13.9	2.06	14.3	12.3	1.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.24,0.3,0.2,0.3,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.35,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 110, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0	94.1%
HOU 104, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
UTA 110, CHA 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.35,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.6%