NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	110		Excitement	5.3 [738]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +10.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	102		Comeback	1.6 [437]		LVP	Boris Diaw (CHA): -10.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	68%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Carlos Boozer	0.05	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	13	63%	0.11	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	82%	0.12	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	57%	0.07	6	-0.12	10	90%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.03	0.01	10	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.04	0.08	6	73%	0.10	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.00	-0.00	16	67%	0.18	4	-0.08	13	77%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	16	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	1	150%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.04	6	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.7	29.5	15.5	31.4	2.6	37.2	140.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.7%

UTA +1.9%

UTA +16.0%

UTA +6.0%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	16.0	13.5	15.3	113.4	104.1	106.0
season	15.3	16.2		109.5	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.0		101.8	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	16.3	14.2	17.2	16.0
CHA	13.6	13.7	14.0	12.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	86	87	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-6	20	16.0	16.6	-0.68	13.6	13.1	0.48
CJ Miles	70	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-4	16	16.5	14.9	1.63	13.6	13.4	0.23
Paul Millsap	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	16.6	14.9	1.70	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Mehmet Okur	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	0	8	15.6	17.0	-1.38	14.5	11.5	3.05
Andrei Kirilenko	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.21	6	2	4	16.3	15.7	0.64	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Ronnie Brewer	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	15.3	16.8	-1.51	13.8	13.2	0.61
Carlos Boozer	62	63	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.17	-2	10	-12	15.9	16.2	-0.31	12.7	15.0	-2.35
Wesley Matthews	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	11	-14	15.8	16.1	-0.29	14.4	13.4	1.06
Kyle Korver	6	6	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	9	-10	14.8	16.1	-1.28	9.3	13.8	-4.46
Eric Maynor	10	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.00	-3	11	-14	18.2	15.8	2.42	13.1	13.6	-0.48
Ronnie Price	1	0	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	11	-14	1.0	16.2	-15.19	0.0	13.5	-13.52

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
D.J. Augustin	28	28	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.33	13	-21	34	11.8	14.2	-2.43	17.7	15.3	2.37
Nazr Mohammed	19	18	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-9	10	13.1	13.6	-0.58	16.9	15.8	1.05
DeSagana Diop	13	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-17	26	10.3	14.0	-3.70	19.3	15.6	3.77
Gerald Henderson	18	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-15	22	10.3	14.2	-3.97	18.8	15.4	3.39
Stephen Graham	34	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-13	18	12.5	14.0	-1.52	16.2	16.0	0.19
Ronald Murray	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-2	-4	12.8	13.8	-0.97	16.3	15.9	0.37
Boris Diaw	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	6	-20	13.8	13.1	0.73	15.8	16.4	-0.63
Stephen Jackson	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	7	-22	14.6	10.9	3.73	15.7	17.0	-1.29
Tyson Chandler	66	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	7	-22	14.3	11.9	2.35	15.2	17.9	-2.66
Gerald Wallace	93	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-2	-4	13.5	13.0	0.55	15.9	18.2	-2.29
Raymond Felton	65	64	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.05	-19	11	-30	14.5	11.5	2.98	15.2	17.7	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.35,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.19,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, LAC 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
NOK 87, HOU 74	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
TOR 103, WAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.2%