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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 87 Excitement4.1 [1007] MVPRasual Butler (NOK): +5.4%
Houston Rockets 74 Comeback1.4 [230] LVPJuwan Howard (HOU): -10.8%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rasual Butler0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01567%0.0500.002100%0.01
Linton Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.012100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.000.04775%0.0310.002100%0.00
Bobby Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.030.01-0.031144%0.052-0.035100%0.03
Hilton Armstrong0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0110.0000%0.00
David West-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.03833%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Devin Brown-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.061460%0.013-0.042100%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Chris Paul-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.011243%-0.012-0.05475%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.00946%-0.003-0.06650%-0.03

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Vassilis Spanoulis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.031150%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.040.031348%0.043-0.06367%-0.01
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.000.03844%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Shane Battier0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.01736%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.010.021650%0.013-0.08450%-0.02
Bonzi Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.010.061539%-0.0700.00333%-0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01833%-0.043-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.528.214.826.62.630.4133.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOK +37.5%
HOU -0.5%
NOK +11.8%
HOU -0.2%
NOK +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKHOUNBANOKHOUNBA
this game17.815.015.497.886.0104.5
season16.015.6102.8103.6
opponent15.715.399.2104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK17.317.916.819.417.8
HOU13.317.215.914.015.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler54510.54-0.040.570.1015-21716.619.7-3.1715.314.70.51
Chris Paul59570.490.010.470.0216-31918.217.11.0415.414.40.95
Tyson Chandler68660.420.080.340.041301317.718.2-0.5515.114.90.13
Devin Brown62600.400.100.300.1394519.114.94.1515.314.50.84
David West54530.370.130.240.05112919.215.73.4716.113.42.73
Linton Johnson35330.130.37-0.240.07211-915.719.2-3.4713.416.1-2.73
Bobby Jackson45440.100.41-0.31-0.0558-317.018.7-1.7014.915.2-0.23
Hilton Armstrong21200.080.42-0.340.08013-1318.217.70.5514.915.1-0.13
Jannero Pargo32310.020.48-0.460.14-417-2117.518.0-0.4514.915.1-0.17
Desmond Mason1515-0.030.53-0.560.03-215-1718.917.61.2612.715.5-2.88

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston15150.03-0.530.56-0.032-151712.715.5-2.8818.917.61.26
Vassilis Spanoulis670.00-0.500.50-0.186-192511.215.3-4.1714.718.1-3.37
Steve Novak1516-0.02-0.480.46-0.175-182311.115.9-4.7416.218.2-1.99
Scott Padgett2425-0.03-0.470.45-0.175-182313.315.7-2.4318.717.51.25
Charles Hayes3437-0.15-0.350.190.08-8-5-316.414.22.2616.618.7-2.10
Luther Head6063-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.02-8-5-315.314.40.9517.119.5-2.32
Shane Battier5051-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-9-4-515.614.31.2318.716.62.12
Dikembe Mutombo2827-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-10-3-714.915.1-0.2318.717.51.22
Juwan Howard4950-0.35-0.15-0.190.06-141-1515.015.2-0.2017.218.7-1.51
John Lucas III3638-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-8315.414.80.5917.618.0-0.47
Bonzi Wells4547-0.37-0.13-0.240.10-163-1916.014.01.9518.517.11.42
Tracy McGrady6869-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.00-130-1315.413.71.7518.415.82.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 109, SAC 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
OKC 101, BOS 830.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.5%
IND 101, SEA 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,095.4%