NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	3.7 [1034]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +13.5%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	1.2 [1028]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -18.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.04	9	96%	0.17	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.02	0.05	9	83%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Buck Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	13	65%	0.05	3	-0.07	11	73%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
John Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Grayer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	76%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.05	0.10	26	45%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	28.3	16.3	28.7	2.4	28.5	131.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +52.6%

NYK +1.6%

NYK +4.0%

SAC -7.5%

SAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	15.6	117.2	93.5	104.4
season	15.1	15.4		102.0	102.4
opponent	15.4	16.1		106.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	16.0	13.1	16.2	15.2
SAC	15.8	16.8	18.2	12.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	62	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.16	24	-2	26	15.0	15.7	-0.69	16.9	13.6	3.34
Larry Johnson	80	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	6	10	15.2	15.2	0.07	16.1	13.8	2.33
Allan Houston	66	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.32	27	-5	32	14.2	17.7	-3.56	16.2	14.6	1.69
Charles Oakley	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	6	10	14.2	17.8	-3.60	16.8	13.0	3.82
Chris Childs	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	13	-4	14.6	17.2	-2.64	15.8	15.6	0.25
Charlie Ward	39	39	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.08	6	16	-10	17.0	13.9	3.12	14.1	17.0	-2.93
John Starks	34	34	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	22	-22	16.9	14.2	2.67	14.3	16.6	-2.30
John Wallace	14	15	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	17	-12	20.5	14.3	6.22	14.3	16.0	-1.69
Scott Brooks	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	15	-8	15.5	15.2	0.29	11.0	15.9	-4.91
Buck Williams	27	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	27	-32	15.1	15.3	-0.15	14.1	16.4	-2.37
Walter McCarty	3	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.20	5	17	-12	13.0	15.3	-2.29	13.5	15.9	-2.35

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Gamble	21	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.13	-3	-19	16	14.3	16.2	-1.89	19.4	14.1	5.22
Bobby Hurley	7	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	12.4	16.0	-3.59	19.5	14.9	4.58
Lionel Simmons	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-17	12	12.9	16.0	-3.15	18.4	15.0	3.48
Tyus Edney	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.08	-4	-18	14	13.3	17.4	-4.08	17.5	13.7	3.77
Jeff Grayer	18	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.07	-5	-17	12	15.1	15.9	-0.80	12.4	15.9	-3.58
Billy Owens	50	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-16	10	15.3	16.2	-0.89	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Michael Smith	57	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-9	-4	17.0	13.8	3.22	14.1	16.8	-2.69
Corliss Williamson	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	-5	-12	15.6	16.4	-0.81	15.5	13.9	1.58
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.03	-17	-5	-12	16.7	13.7	3.00	14.1	17.9	-3.78
Mitch Richmond	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.01	-16	-6	-10	16.0	15.2	0.78	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Olden Polynice	60	63	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.06	-21	-1	-20	16.8	13.8	3.09	15.2	15.3	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 123, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
ATL 96, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
MIN 108, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%