NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	4.4 [917]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +11.3%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.1 [1020]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -13.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.15	0.02	0.05	12	78%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	93%	0.08	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
A.C. Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.05	12	75%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Devean George	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.01	-0.05	14	36%	-0.05	3	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	16	59%	-0.02	7	-0.12	14	21%	-0.16

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.02	0.03	13	63%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.03	16	53%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	81%	0.08	6	-0.12	3	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	17	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	7	57%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	32.2	16.4	28.5	2.4	24.6	129.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +51.2%

DAL -16.1%

LAL +13.3%

LAL +3.3%

DAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.4	14.3	15.2	117.1	98.1	101.7
season	15.3	14.8		105.6	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.1		104.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	12.5	13.8	14.5	13.4
DAL	14.9	15.8	12.4	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	73	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	1	20	13.2	13.8	-0.65	14.5	13.9	0.54
Shaquille O'Neal	84	82	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.07	19	3	16	13.6	12.5	1.08	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Ron Harper	48	46	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	6	10	13.7	13.2	0.51	14.7	14.0	0.70
Derek Fisher	51	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	6	10	13.6	13.2	0.38	13.5	15.1	-1.51
A.C. Green	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	7	8	13.3	13.5	-0.26	13.7	14.9	-1.16
Rick Fox	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	17	-12	13.4	13.4	-0.04	15.4	13.3	2.13
Tyronn Lue	55	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.10	6	16	-10	13.0	13.8	-0.74	15.1	13.5	1.51
Brian Shaw	46	47	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.15	7	15	-8	12.8	13.8	-1.04	14.3	14.3	0.02
Travis Knight	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	13.6	13.3	0.28	13.4	14.5	-1.03
Sam Jacobson	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	14.6	13.2	1.39	12.5	14.5	-2.01
John Salley	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	19	-16	12.9	13.4	-0.55	13.0	14.4	-1.42
Devean George	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	21	-20	13.8	13.2	0.65	13.9	14.5	-0.54

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Hughes	15	16	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-22	22	14.7	14.2	0.42	9.7	14.0	-4.29
Hubert Davis	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.13	-8	-14	6	13.9	14.6	-0.71	13.5	13.3	0.21
Shawn Bradley	26	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-17	12	14.7	14.2	0.51	14.7	12.9	1.85
Steve Nash	66	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.12	-10	-12	2	14.2	14.6	-0.40	13.5	13.2	0.35
Cedric Ceballos	73	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-11	0	14.3	14.4	-0.08	13.4	13.5	-0.11
Sean Rooks	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.05	-13	-9	-4	14.8	14.0	0.72	13.7	13.2	0.54
Dirk Nowitzki	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	13.4	15.2	-1.82	13.2	13.5	-0.32
Robert Pack	38	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-8	-6	14.5	14.2	0.34	13.4	13.4	-0.01
Michael Finley	84	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-7	-8	14.7	12.8	1.87	13.5	13.1	0.32
Erick Strickland	75	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.19	-22	0	-22	14.4	14.1	0.33	13.4	13.4	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 96, TOR 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
NYK 109, SAC 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CLE 94, ATL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%